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Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) stock analysis

SWBINasdaqOrdnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)Fiscal year ends April 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 3, 2026Score 13/3011% above fair value
$15.83+0.23 (+1.47%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $709.81MP/E –Yield 3.28%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance0Health6Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Smith & Wesson Brands passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • No debt

    Smith & Wesson Brands has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 106% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -40.7% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $15.83 is above our fair value estimate of $14.31.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 6.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Smith & Wesson Brands's EV/EBITDA of 10.3 is above its 5-year median of 6.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    Smith & Wesson Brands's price-to-book of 1.90 is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 2.69.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $15.83 is above our fair value estimate of $14.31.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -20.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 106% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -40.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 17.0% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 10.2%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (second quarter anticipated sales, Sep 3, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 27.4% over the last twelve months, against 26.5% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 6.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Smith & Wesson Brands's return on equity of 6.6% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 9.0%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 40.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Smith & Wesson Brands's net margin of 4.4% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 4.5%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Smith & Wesson Brands has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.62 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.53; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Smith & Wesson Brands paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.3% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Smith & Wesson Brands yields 3.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 95.3% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 28.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$14.31

The share price is 11% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$15.83Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA9.6×6.6×12.6×$14.7258%
P/B2.1×1.6×2.7×$17.7617%
Earnings power9.1% cost of equity––$11.0525%
Fair value$14.31100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median 21.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$8.60M
Value traded per 1% price move
$5.43M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.3%
Volatility (annualized)
45%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.76
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.83

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

26.9%−15.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

5.6%−24.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

3.5%−20.3 pts over 5 years

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