Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $709.81MP/E –Yield 3.28%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Smith & Wesson Brands passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
No debt
Smith & Wesson Brands has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 106% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -40.7% a year.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $15.83 is above our fair value estimate of $14.31.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Smith & Wesson Brands's EV/EBITDA of 10.3 is above its 5-year median of 6.6.
P/B below the industry
Smith & Wesson Brands's price-to-book of 1.90 is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 2.69.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $15.83 is above our fair value estimate of $14.31.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -20.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 106% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -40.7% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 17.0% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 10.2%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (second quarter anticipated sales, Sep 3, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 27.4% over the last twelve months, against 26.5% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Smith & Wesson Brands's return on equity of 6.6% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 9.0%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 40.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 4.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9%.
Net margin below the industry
Smith & Wesson Brands's net margin of 4.4% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 4.5%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
Smith & Wesson Brands has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.62 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.53; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Smith & Wesson Brands paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.3% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Smith & Wesson Brands yields 3.3%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 95.3% of net income, leaving little room.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 28.4% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$14.31
The share price is 11% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 9.6× | 6.6× | 12.6× | $14.72 | 58% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 1.6× | 2.7× | $17.76 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 9.1% cost of equity | – | – | $11.05 | 25% |
| Fair value | $14.31 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median 21.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $8.60M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $5.43M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 45%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.76
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.83
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.4% | +3.0% | -13.1% | -3.2% | |
| Gross profit | +10.9% | -3.0% | -20.7% | -7.1% | |
| Operating income | +22.3% | -15.5% | -38.0% | -15.6% | |
| Net income | +37.7% | -20.6% | -40.7% | -15.0% | |
| EPS, diluted | +36.7% | -20.0% | -38.2% | -13.2% | |
| Free cash flow | – | – | -21.0% | -4.2% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +9.1% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 36.5% | 77.1% | 4.9% | |
| Return on assets | 18.2% | 42.9% | 3.4% | |
| Current ratio | 2.11 | 2.13 | 3.20 | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 57M | 55M | 0M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Smith & Wesson Brands generated $382.70M from operations and spent $477.04M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 52% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 3.5% | 0.98× | 1.43× | 4.9% |
| FY2025 | 2.8% | 0.83× | 1.47× | 3.5% |
| FY2024 | 7.7% | 0.96× | 1.43× | 10.5% |
| FY2023 | 7.7% | 0.92× | 1.39× | 9.9% |
| FY2022 | 22.5% | 1.83× | 1.51× | 62.0% |
| FY2021 | 23.8% | 1.80× | 1.80× | 77.1% |
| FY2020 | -11.6% | 0.71× | 1.80× | -14.7% |
| FY2019 | 3.8% | 0.64× | 1.74× | 4.2% |
| FY2018 | 3.3% | 0.79× | 1.88× | 4.9% |
| FY2017 | 14.2% | 1.28× | 2.01× | 36.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$18.48M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$114.20M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.3% → 3.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$114.20M vs $18.48M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.16 → 3.20
- No dilutionShare count did not rise0M → 0M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year26.79% → 26.94%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.82 → 0.94
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