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National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) stock analysis

NPKNYSEOrdnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 5, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 14, 2026Score 16/3034% above fair value
$140.30−3.09 (-2.15%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $1.00BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance3Health6Dividend3

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

National Presto Industries passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    National Presto Industries has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 16.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 3.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.8% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $143.39 is above our fair value estimate of $107.41.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    National Presto Industries's EV/EBITDA of 19.2 is above its 5-year median of 13.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    National Presto Industries's price-to-book of 2.49 is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 2.80.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $143.39 is above our fair value estimate of $107.41.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 16.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 3.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.9% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 10.2%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 16.5% over the last twelve months, against 19.2% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    National Presto Industries's return on equity of 10.9% is above the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 9.0%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    National Presto Industries's net margin of 7.9% is above the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 4.5%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    National Presto Industries has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 5.22 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 10.36; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    National Presto Industries paid dividends worth 0.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; National Presto Industries yields 0.7%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 16.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 27.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$107.41

The share price is 34% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$143.39Price$107.41Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA13.0×13.9×12.6×$98.1178%
P/B2.4×1.6×2.8×$139.9322%
Fair value$107.41100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median 22.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$16.60M
Value traded per 1% price move
$10.58M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
9.1%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.16
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.64

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

16.0%−8.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

8.0%−7.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.6%−6.7 pts over 5 years

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