1st Source Corp (SRCE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $2.12BP/E 12.0Yield 1.72%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
1st Source passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Modest borrowings
Borrowings other than deposits are 17.7% of equity.
P/E below the industry
1st Source's P/E of 12.0 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 18.3% of free cash flow.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $88.13 is above our fair value estimate of $77.36.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
1st Source's P/E of 12.0 is above its own 5-year median of 10.6.
P/E below the industry
1st Source's P/E of 12.0 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.
P/S above the industry
1st Source's price-to-sales of 4.59 is above the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.
P/B above the industry
1st Source's price-to-book of 1.61 is above the Commercial Banks median of 1.28.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $88.13 is above our fair value estimate of $77.36.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 9.9% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on assets
Needs net income and total assets.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health6/6
Well capitalized
Equity is 14.1% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Loans equal 96.0% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.
Adequate loan-loss reserve
The allowance for credit losses is 2.3% of loans; we look for at least 1%.
Efficient operations
Non-interest expense takes 47.9% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.
Deposits growing
Deposits grew 0.8% over the past year.
Modest borrowings
Borrowings other than deposits are 17.7% of equity.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
1st Source paid dividends worth 2.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.0% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; 1st Source yields 2.0%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 18.3% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$77.36
The share price is 14% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.3× | 10.6× | 12.1× | $83.08 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.3× | 1.3× | $71.64 | 50% |
| Fair value | $77.36 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.6
- Commercial Banks median 12.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.48M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $11.30M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 5.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 19%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 2.01
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.59
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +12.1% | +6.9% | +5.6% | +34.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | +19.6% | +9.8% | +15.1% | +11.4% | |
| Free cash flow | +17.4% | +7.2% | +7.0% | +8.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +8.6% | +6.5% | +6.1% | +8.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 8.8% | – | – | |
| Return on assets | 1.1% | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 34.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 26M | 26M | 24M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
1st Source generated $947.20M from operations and spent $270.53M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 224.0% | 0.01× | 8.18× | 9.8% |
| FY2016 | 223.4% | 0.00× | 8.11× | 8.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$223.12M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$223.12M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24M → 24M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.04 → 0.05
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