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Spire Inc (SR) stock analysis

SRNYSENatural Gas DistributionFiscal year ends September 30Also trades as SRJN
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 5, 2026Score 10/3015% above fair value
$88.27−1.17 (-1.31%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.22BP/E –Yield 3.56%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance4Health0Dividend3

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Spire passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 25.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 92.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.1% a year.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 34.9% of net income.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $88.27 is above our fair value estimate of $76.92.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 15.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Spire's EV/EBITDA of 13.2 is above its 5-year median of 11.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Spire's price-to-book of 1.46 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.10.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $88.27 is above our fair value estimate of $76.92.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 92.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 19.2% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Spire lowered its fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS outlook on May 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 15.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Spire's return on equity of 15.5% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 25.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Spire's net margin of 20.1% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.

Financial health0/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 196% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 98.5% five years ago to 196%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 8.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.2 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.37 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.67; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Spire paid dividends worth 3.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Spire yields 3.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 34.9% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$76.92

The share price is 15% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$88.27Price$76.92Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA11.8×11.4×12.3×$66.6258%
P/B1.7×1.3×2.1×$102.3417%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$83.9925%
Fair value$76.92100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.6
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$41.91M
Value traded per 1% price move
$44.08M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.3%
Volatility (annualized)
20%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.30
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.35

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

58.8%

Operating margin

21.2%+10.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.0%+6.2 pts over 5 years

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