Spire Inc (SR) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.22BP/E –Yield 3.56%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Spire passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 92.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.1% a year.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 34.9% of net income.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $88.27 is above our fair value estimate of $76.92.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 15.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Spire's EV/EBITDA of 13.2 is above its 5-year median of 11.4.
P/B below the industry
Spire's price-to-book of 1.46 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.10.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $88.27 is above our fair value estimate of $76.92.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 92.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 19.2% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.
Guidance lowered
Spire lowered its fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS outlook on May 6, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 15.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Spire's return on equity of 15.5% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Spire's net margin of 20.1% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.
Financial health0/6
High debt
Debt is 196% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 98.5% five years ago to 196%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 8.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.2 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.37 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.67; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Spire paid dividends worth 3.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Spire yields 3.7%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 34.9% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$76.92
The share price is 15% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 11.8× | 11.4× | 12.3× | $66.62 | 58% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.3× | 2.1× | $102.34 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $83.99 | 25% |
| Fair value | $76.92 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 9.6
- Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $41.91M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $44.08M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 20%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.30
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.35
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -4.5% | +4.0% | +5.9% | +2.3% | |
| Gross profit | +6.9% | – | – | – | |
| Operating income | +7.3% | +8.7% | +20.5% | +6.8% | |
| Net income | +8.3% | +7.2% | +25.1% | +7.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +4.3% | +3.4% | +24.9% | +3.3% | |
| Dividend per share | +4.0% | +4.6% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 8.6% | 3.5% | 8.2% | |
| Return on assets | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | |
| Current ratio | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.32 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.26 | 0.98 | 1.53 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.27× | 6.14× | 6.29× | |
| Interest coverage | 3.7× | 2.0× | 2.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 19.1% | 34.4% | 37.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 44M | 51M | 0M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Spire generated $2.24B from operations and spent $4.40B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 82% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 11.0% | 0.22× | 3.39× | 8.2% |
| FY2024 | 9.7% | 0.24× | 3.44× | 8.2% |
| FY2023 | 8.2% | 0.26× | 3.56× | 7.6% |
| FY2022 | 10.0% | 0.23× | 3.55× | 8.1% |
| FY2021 | 12.2% | 0.25× | 3.40× | 10.5% |
| FY2020 | 4.8% | 0.23× | 3.13× | 3.5% |
| FY2019 | 9.5% | 0.27× | 3.01× | 7.7% |
| FY2018 | 10.9% | 0.29× | 3.15× | 10.1% |
| FY2017 | 9.3% | 0.28× | 3.35× | 8.6% |
| FY2016 | 9.4% | 0.27× | 3.39× | 8.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$271.70M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$578.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.4% → 2.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$578.00M vs $271.70M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell34.1% → 29.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.45 → 0.32
- No dilutionShare count did not rise0M → 0M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year52.51% → 58.76%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.25 → 0.23
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