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Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) stock analysis

NWNNYSENatural Gas DistributionFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 9/305% below fair value
$52.11+0.37 (+0.72%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $2.19BP/E 17.4Yield 3.76%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance2Health0Dividend3

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Northwest Natural passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $52.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.68.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 22.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.1% a year.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Northwest Natural's P/E of 17.4 is below its own 5-year median of 17.8.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 168% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Northwest Natural's P/E of 17.4 is below its own 5-year median of 17.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Northwest Natural's P/E of 17.4 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.4.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Northwest Natural's EV/EBITDA of 10.3 is above its 5-year median of 10.2.

  • P/B below the industry

    Northwest Natural's price-to-book of 1.41 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.13.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $52.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.68.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 2.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 22.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.1% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.4% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 EPS, Nov 4, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Northwest Natural's return on equity of 8.3% is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 9.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Northwest Natural's net margin of 9.7% is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.

Financial health0/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 168% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 142% five years ago to 168%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 8.1% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.77 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.70; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Northwest Natural paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Northwest Natural yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 62.7% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$54.68

The share price is 5% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$52.11Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E17.6×17.8×17.4×$52.7940%
EV/EBITDA11.3×10.2×12.4×$63.4635%
P/B1.7×1.3×2.1×$63.4310%
Earnings power7.6% cost of equity––$33.3815%
Fair value$54.68100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 17.8
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$14.83M
Value traded per 1% price move
$15.89M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
9.2%
Volatility (annualized)
20%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.18
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.28

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Operating margin

21.8%+2.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.8%−1.1 pts over 5 years

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