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Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX) stock analysis

SWXNYSENatural Gas Transmisison & DistributionFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 13/3027% below fair value
$93.66+0.58 (+0.62%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $6.79BP/E 12.4Yield 2.65%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth1Performance2Health2Dividend2

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Southwest Gas passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $93.66 is below our fair value estimate of $129.09.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 228% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.6% a year.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 85.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -26.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Southwest Gas's P/E of 12.4 is below its own 5-year median of 26.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Southwest Gas's P/E of 12.4 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.4.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Southwest Gas's EV/EBITDA of 11.9 is below its 5-year median of 14.2.

  • P/B below the industry

    Southwest Gas's price-to-book of 1.64 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.13.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $93.66 is below our fair value estimate of $129.09.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -26.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 228% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.6% a year.

  • Growth against the industry

    Needs revenue for this year and last.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations, Nov 4, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Southwest Gas's return on equity of 14.1% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 85.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 108% five years ago to 85.1%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.12 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.96; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Southwest Gas paid dividends worth 2.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.7% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Southwest Gas yields 2.7%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 33.1% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$129.09

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$93.66Price$129.09Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.0×26.7×17.4×$166.3940%
EV/EBITDA13.3×14.2×12.4×$110.3835%
P/B1.8×1.5×2.1×$103.5710%
Earnings power7.6% cost of equity––$90.3115%
Fair value$129.09100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 26.7
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$61.52M
Value traded per 1% price move
$55.30M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
8.3%
Volatility (annualized)
18%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.56
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.41

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

24.4%+11.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

22.7%+15.6 pts over 5 years

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