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PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) stock analysis

PBFNYSEPetroleum RefiningFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 19/3059% below fair value
$69.73+3.82 (+5.80%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $8.46BP/E 3.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth2Performance4Health6Dividend1

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

PBF Energy passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 59.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $69.73 is below our fair value estimate of $171.39.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 41.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 39.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -14.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Guidance lowered

    PBF Energy lowered its third quarter Renewable diesel production outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Net margin below the industry

    PBF Energy's net margin of 7.0% is below the Petroleum Refining median of 7.0%.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    PBF Energy's P/E of 3.1 is below its own 5-year median of 3.2.

  • P/E below the industry

    PBF Energy's P/E of 3.1 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 13.9.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    PBF Energy's EV/EBITDA of 2.1 is below its 5-year median of 2.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    PBF Energy's price-to-book of 1.06 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 2.75.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $69.73 is below our fair value estimate of $171.39.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 59.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -14.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 31.5% over the last twelve months; the Petroleum Refining median is 18.4%.

  • Guidance lowered

    PBF Energy lowered its third quarter Renewable diesel production outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 8.9% over the last twelve months, against -2.5% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 41.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 39.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    PBF Energy's return on equity of 41.1% is above the Petroleum Refining median of 17.7%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.1%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    PBF Energy's net margin of 7.0% is below the Petroleum Refining median of 7.0%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 26.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 284% five years ago to 26.6%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 166% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 25.0 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.59 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    PBF Energy paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; PBF Energy yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$171.39

The share price is 59% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$69.73Price$171.39Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E8.5×3.2×13.9×$189.9153%
EV/EBITDA4.6×2.9×6.4×$150.2247%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others7.4% cost of equity––$9.66–
Fair value$171.39100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 3.2
  • Petroleum Refining median 13.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$225.99M
Value traded per 1% price move
$66.53M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
26.2%
Volatility (annualized)
66%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.07
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.38

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

-1.9%+8.8 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-0.2%+9.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-0.5%+8.7 pts over 5 years

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