PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $8.46BP/E 3.1Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
PBF Energy passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 59.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $69.73 is below our fair value estimate of $171.39.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 41.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 39.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Guidance lowered
PBF Energy lowered its third quarter Renewable diesel production outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Net margin below the industry
PBF Energy's net margin of 7.0% is below the Petroleum Refining median of 7.0%.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
PBF Energy's P/E of 3.1 is below its own 5-year median of 3.2.
P/E below the industry
PBF Energy's P/E of 3.1 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 13.9.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
PBF Energy's EV/EBITDA of 2.1 is below its 5-year median of 2.9.
P/B below the industry
PBF Energy's price-to-book of 1.06 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 2.75.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $69.73 is below our fair value estimate of $171.39.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 59.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 31.5% over the last twelve months; the Petroleum Refining median is 18.4%.
Guidance lowered
PBF Energy lowered its third quarter Renewable diesel production outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 8.9% over the last twelve months, against -2.5% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 41.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 39.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
PBF Energy's return on equity of 41.1% is above the Petroleum Refining median of 17.7%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.1%.
Net margin below the industry
PBF Energy's net margin of 7.0% is below the Petroleum Refining median of 7.0%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 26.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 284% five years ago to 26.6%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 166% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 25.0 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.59 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
PBF Energy paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; PBF Energy yields 1.6%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$171.39
The share price is 59% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.5× | 3.2× | 13.9× | $189.91 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.6× | 2.9× | 6.4× | $150.22 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $9.66 | – |
| Fair value | $171.39 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 3.2
- Petroleum Refining median 13.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $225.99M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $66.53M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 26.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 66%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.07
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.38
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -11.4% | -14.4% | +14.2% | +8.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 9.3% | -59.5% | -2.9% | |
| Return on assets | 2.5% | -14.2% | -1.2% | |
| Current ratio | 1.66 | 1.58 | 1.21 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.06 | 2.84 | 0.40 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.18× | -2.80× | 5.11× | |
| Interest coverage | – | -5.5× | -0.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 10.0× | 8.8× | 11.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 104M | 121M | 115M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
PBF Energy generated $6.71B from operations and spent $3.66B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 72% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -0.5% | 2.28× | 2.37× | -2.9% |
| FY2024 | -1.6% | 2.44× | 2.25× | -8.9% |
| FY2023 | 5.6% | 2.74× | 2.45× | 37.5% |
| FY2022 | 6.1% | 3.72× | 3.67× | 83.9% |
| FY2021 | 0.8% | 2.46× | 6.20× | 12.9% |
| FY2020 | -9.2% | 1.54× | 4.19× | -59.5% |
| FY2019 | 1.3% | 2.86× | 3.00× | 11.2% |
| FY2018 | 0.5% | 3.37× | 3.22× | 5.1% |
| FY2017 | 1.9% | 2.77× | 3.61× | 19.1% |
| FY2016 | 1.1% | 2.32× | 3.74× | 9.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$158.50M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$78.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-3.7% → -1.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$78.00M vs -$158.50M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell11.5% → 16.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.25 → 1.21
- No dilutionShare count did not rise117M → 115M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year-1.12% → -1.95%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.30 → 2.31
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