Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.11BP/E 3.6Yield 1.52%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Delek US passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 72.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $67.16 is below our fair value estimate of $240.46.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 52.9% of total debt.
P/E below the industry
Delek US's P/E of 3.6 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 13.9.
What to watch
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -18.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.90; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation5/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E below the industry
Delek US's P/E of 3.6 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 13.9.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Delek US's EV/EBITDA of 2.9 is below its 5-year median of 7.2.
P/S below the industry
Delek US's price-to-sales of 0.30 is below the Petroleum Refining median of 0.60 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $67.16 is below our fair value estimate of $240.46.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 72.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -18.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 27.1% over the last twelve months; the Petroleum Refining median is 18.4%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (2026 adjusted EBITDA, Feb 27, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 15.0% over the last twelve months, against 2.4% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 8.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Delek US's net margin of 8.7% is above the Petroleum Refining median of 7.0%.
Financial health2/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 52.9% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.33 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.90; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Delek US paid dividends worth 1.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Delek US yields 1.1%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 5.3% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 5.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$240.46
The share price is 72% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.9× | – | 13.9× | $261.68 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.8× | 7.2× | 6.4× | $216.21 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $27.14 | – |
| Fair value | $240.46 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Petroleum Refining median 13.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $117.88M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $44.31M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 56%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.02
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.51
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -9.5% | -18.5% | +8.0% | +9.6% | |
| Gross profit | – | -6.5% | – | +33.7% | |
| Operating income | – | -13.0% | – | +15.9% | |
| Free cash flow | – | -64.9% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | +1.5% | +18.7% | +1.9% | +5.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -12.1% | – | – | |
| Return on assets | – | -9.3% | -0.3% | |
| Current ratio | 1.49 | 1.21 | 0.82 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.70 | – | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.14× | -3.36× | 3.73× | |
| Interest coverage | -0.9× | -5.7× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 9.0× | 12.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 62M | 74M | 61M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Delek US generated $2.41B from operations and spent $2.15B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 86% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 4.0% | 1.63× | 2.83× | 18.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$22.80M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$535.80M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-7.8% → -0.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$535.80M vs -$22.80M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell41.3% → 47.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.93 → 0.82
- No dilutionShare count did not rise64M → 61M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year-0.36% → 5.71%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.65 → 1.61
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