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Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) stock analysis

MCHPNasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends March 31Also trades as MCHPP
Financials through Q2 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 13/3039% above fair value
$62.08−0.05 (-0.08%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $33.71BP/E 47.0Yield 2.93%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance2Health5Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Microchip Technology passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.7 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance raised

    Microchip Technology raised its First Quarter Fiscal Year 2027 Net income outlook on May 7, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 38.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $62.13 is above our fair value estimate of $44.85.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Microchip Technology's P/E of 47.1 is above its own 5-year median of 27.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Microchip Technology's P/E of 47.1 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Microchip Technology's EV/EBITDA of 21.2 is above its 5-year median of 17.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    Microchip Technology's price-to-book of 5.08 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $62.13 is above our fair value estimate of $44.85.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 38.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -17.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -62.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 33.0% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.

  • Guidance raised

    Microchip Technology raised its First Quarter Fiscal Year 2027 Net income outlook on May 7, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 62.7% over the last twelve months, against 54.1% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Microchip Technology's return on equity of 12.6% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 8.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 15.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Microchip Technology's net margin of 15.0% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.

Financial health5/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 83.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 167% five years ago to 83.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.7 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.24 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Microchip Technology paid dividends worth 2.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Microchip Technology yields 2.9%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 118% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 67.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$44.85

The share price is 39% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$62.13Price$44.85Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E31.0×27.3×34.8×$40.9740%
EV/EBITDA19.3×17.3×21.3×$55.6635%
P/B5.0×6.4×3.5×$60.6310%
Earnings power13.4% cost of equity––$19.4315%
Fair value$44.85100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.3
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$969.50M
Value traded per 1% price move
$361.72M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.0%
Volatility (annualized)
53%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.15
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.71

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

57.7%−4.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

10.4%−8.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

4.9%−1.5 pts over 5 years

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