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Landstar System Inc (LSTR) stock analysis

LSTRNasdaqTrucking (No Local)Fiscal year ends December 30
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 28, 2026Score 13/3019% above fair value
$147.31+1.60 (+1.10%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.97BP/E 31.2Yield 2.42%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance4Health3Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Landstar System passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 31.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 16.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -9.8% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 42.4 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $147.31 is above our fair value estimate of $124.15.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 9.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -13.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Landstar System's P/E of 31.2 is above its own 5-year median of 26.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    Landstar System's P/E of 31.2 is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 34.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Landstar System's EV/EBITDA of 18.0 is above its 5-year median of 15.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Landstar System's price-to-book of 5.98 is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 1.83.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $147.31 is above our fair value estimate of $124.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -13.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -34.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 16.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -9.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.7% over the last twelve months; the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median is 7.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 31.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Landstar System's return on equity of 18.7% is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 9.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 3.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Landstar System's net margin of 3.0% is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 2.1%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 42.4 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.79 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 9.05; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Landstar System paid dividends worth 1.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Landstar System yields 1.1%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 77.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 78.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$124.15

The share price is 19% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$147.31Price$124.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E30.4×26.8×34.1×$143.6740%
EV/EBITDA14.4×15.4×13.4×$119.6435%
P/B4.3×6.7×1.8×$104.9010%
Earnings power8.7% cost of equity––$95.4215%
Fair value$124.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 26.8
  • Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median 34.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$66.51M
Value traded per 1% price move
$45.49M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.1%
Volatility (annualized)
39%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.76

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

3.2%−2.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.4%−2.2 pts over 5 years

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