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ArcBest Corp (ARCB) stock analysis

ARCBNasdaqTrucking (No Local)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 9/30107% above fair value
$135.91+2.06 (+1.54%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.04BP/E 107.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth1Performance0Health4Dividend4

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

ArcBest passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 15.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 154% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 4.2% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 107% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $135.91 is above our fair value estimate of $65.75.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 2.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    ArcBest's P/E of 107.0 is above its own 5-year median of 11.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    ArcBest's P/E of 107.0 is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 34.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    ArcBest's EV/EBITDA of 13.4 is above its 5-year median of 6.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    ArcBest's price-to-book of 2.35 is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 1.83.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $135.91 is above our fair value estimate of $65.75.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 107% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -7.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -39.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -70.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -3.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.1% over the last twelve months; the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median is 7.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 2.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 2.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    ArcBest's return on equity of 2.2% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 3.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 0.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.3%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    ArcBest's net margin of 0.7% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 2.1%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 15.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 34.3% five years ago to 15.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 154% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.00 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    ArcBest paid dividends worth 0.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; ArcBest yields 0.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 37.5% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 4.2% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$65.75

The share price is 107% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$135.91Price$65.75Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.8×11.7×34.1×$28.9640%
EV/EBITDA9.7×6.2×13.4×$98.5735%
P/B2.0×2.1×1.8×$112.8510%
Earnings power11.4% cost of equity––$55.9015%
Fair value$65.75100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.7
  • Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median 34.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$31.49M
Value traded per 1% price move
$17.95M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.3%
Volatility (annualized)
46%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
2.19
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.31

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

2.3%−1.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.5%−0.9 pts over 5 years

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