Li Auto Inc. (LI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $12.97BP/E 75.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak3 of 30 checks passed
Li Auto passes 3 of the 30 checks behind our score; 20 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 13.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 35.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.
What to watch
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -3.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -3.1 times; we look for at least 5.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -90.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -22.3% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 35.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -22.3% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (first quarter of 2026 Total revenues, Mar 12, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 18.7% over the last twelve months, against 20.5% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -3.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health2/6
Low debt
Debt is 13.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 1.7% five years ago to 13.1%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -90.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -3.1 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Li Auto has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Li Auto. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $33.56M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $18.59M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 39%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.14
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.78
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -22.3% | +35.4% | +64.0% | – | |
| Gross profit | -29.2% | +33.6% | +68.4% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -85.8% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
9 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -1.3% | – | |
| Return on assets | – | -0.7% | – | |
| Current ratio | – | 7.28 | 1.81 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.02 | 0.13 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 24.19× | -11.47× | |
| Interest coverage | – | -10.0× | -3.1× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 10.1× | 10.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 7.1% | 3.7% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 870M | 2.14B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Li Auto generated CN¥90.96B from operations and spent CN¥27.02B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | -1.2% | 0.55× | 1.39× | -0.9% |
| FY2020 | -1.6% | 0.41× | 1.90× | -1.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-CN¥8.61B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-CN¥8.61B vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell5.0% → 2.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.82 → 1.81
- No dilutionShare count did not rise2.13B → 2.14B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year20.53% → 18.68%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.01 → 0.69
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