Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $87.81BP/E 43.2Yield 0.20%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
Howmet Aerospace passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 25.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 53.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $220.82 is above our fair value estimate of $143.45.
High debt
Debt is 77.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Howmet Aerospace's P/E of 43.2 is below its own 5-year median of 45.0.
P/E above the industry
Howmet Aerospace's P/E of 43.2 is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 21.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Howmet Aerospace's EV/EBITDA of 30.0 is above its 5-year median of 22.7.
P/B above the industry
Howmet Aerospace's price-to-book of 15.24 is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 3.13.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $220.82 is above our fair value estimate of $143.45.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 53.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 49.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 22.0% over the last twelve months; the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median is 18.3%.
Guidance raised
Howmet Aerospace raised its FY 2026 Guidance Revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 36.6% over the last twelve months, against 33.4% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 25.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Howmet Aerospace's return on equity of 37.7% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 15.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 21.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Howmet Aerospace's net margin of 21.1% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 5.2%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 77.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 152% five years ago to 77.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 54.0% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.86 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 9.18; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Howmet Aerospace paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.2% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Howmet Aerospace yields 0.2%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$143.45
The share price is 54% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 33.1× | 45.0× | 21.1× | $169.15 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.1× | 22.7× | 9.6× | $114.08 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.8% cost of equity | – | – | $25.71 | – |
| Fair value | $143.45 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 45.0
- Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median 21.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $834.02M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $393.36M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 19.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.08
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.13
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +11.1% | +13.4% | +9.4% | -4.0% | |
| Gross profit | +22.0% | +21.8% | +15.3% | – | |
| Operating income | +25.3% | +30.6% | +26.7% | +12.5% | |
| Net income | +30.6% | +47.6% | +42.0% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +32.0% | +49.5% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +46.5% | +38.4% | – | +13.5% | |
| Dividend per share | +69.2% | +63.9% | +85.6% | +2.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -11.0% | 6.4% | 30.4% | |
| Return on assets | -3.3% | 1.8% | 13.9% | |
| Current ratio | 2.14 | 2.21 | 2.13 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.58 | 1.52 | 0.57 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.98× | 3.98× | 0.99× | |
| Interest coverage | 1.9× | 2.0× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 2.5× | 2.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 438M | 439M | 406M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Howmet Aerospace generated $5.27B from operations and spent $3.67B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 38% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 18.3% | 0.76× | 2.19× | 30.4% |
| FY2024 | 15.5% | 0.71× | 2.44× | 26.9% |
| FY2023 | 11.5% | 0.64× | 2.71× | 20.0% |
| FY2022 | 8.3% | 0.55× | 2.88× | 13.2% |
| FY2021 | 5.2% | 0.46× | 3.06× | 7.3% |
| FY2020 | 5.0% | 0.36× | 3.55× | 6.4% |
| FY2019 | 6.6% | 0.39× | 3.57× | 9.2% |
| FY2018 | 9.5% | 0.36× | 3.57× | 12.2% |
| FY2017 | -0.6% | 0.67× | 3.87× | -1.5% |
| FY2016 | -7.6% | 0.44× | 3.29× | -11.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.51B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.88B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year11.1% → 14.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.88B vs $1.51B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell31.5% → 25.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.17 → 2.13
- No dilutionShare count did not rise410M → 406M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year31.10% → 34.17%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.71 → 0.78
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