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Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) stock analysis

HWMNYSERolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous MetalsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 17/3054% above fair value
$220.82−2.29 (-1.03%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $87.81BP/E 43.2Yield 0.20%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth5Performance6Health4Dividend1

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Howmet Aerospace passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 25.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 53.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $220.82 is above our fair value estimate of $143.45.

  • High debt

    Debt is 77.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Howmet Aerospace's P/E of 43.2 is below its own 5-year median of 45.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Howmet Aerospace's P/E of 43.2 is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 21.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Howmet Aerospace's EV/EBITDA of 30.0 is above its 5-year median of 22.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Howmet Aerospace's price-to-book of 15.24 is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 3.13.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $220.82 is above our fair value estimate of $143.45.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 53.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 13.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 49.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 22.0% over the last twelve months; the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median is 18.3%.

  • Guidance raised

    Howmet Aerospace raised its FY 2026 Guidance Revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 36.6% over the last twelve months, against 33.4% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 37.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 25.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Howmet Aerospace's return on equity of 37.7% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 15.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 21.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Howmet Aerospace's net margin of 21.1% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 5.2%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 77.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 152% five years ago to 77.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 54.0% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.86 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 9.18; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Howmet Aerospace paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Howmet Aerospace yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$143.45

The share price is 54% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$220.82Price$143.45Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E33.1×45.0×21.1×$169.1553%
EV/EBITDA16.1×22.7×9.6×$114.0847%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.8% cost of equity––$25.71–
Fair value$143.45100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 45.0
  • Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median 21.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$834.02M
Value traded per 1% price move
$393.36M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
19.4%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.08
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.13

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

34.2%+7.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

24.8%+12.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.3%+13.3 pts over 5 years

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