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Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS) stock analysis

CRSNYSESteel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)Fiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 22, 2026Score 20/301% above fair value
$304.86+7.49 (+2.52%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $15.10BP/E 26.9Yield 0.26%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth4Performance4Health6Dividend4

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Carpenter Technology passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 23.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 31.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 110% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 22.2 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $304.86 is above our fair value estimate of $301.13.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 27.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Carpenter Technology's P/E of 26.9 is below its own 5-year median of 40.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Carpenter Technology's P/E of 26.9 is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 17.9.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Carpenter Technology's EV/EBITDA of 17.5 is below its 5-year median of 18.9.

  • P/B above the industry

    Carpenter Technology's price-to-book of 6.92 is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 1.75.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $304.86 is above our fair value estimate of $301.13.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 110% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.2% over the last twelve months; the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median is 9.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Carpenter Technology raised its first quarter of fiscal year 2027 operating income outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 31.2% over the last twelve months, against 27.9% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 27.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 23.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Carpenter Technology's return on equity of 27.8% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 3.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 17.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Carpenter Technology's net margin of 17.9% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 4.0%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 31.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 49.9% five years ago to 31.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 89.5% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 22.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.94 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 8.63; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Carpenter Technology paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Carpenter Technology yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 7.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 11.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$301.13

The share price is 1% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$304.86Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E29.3×40.4×17.9×$331.7853%
EV/EBITDA15.4×18.9×11.8×$266.1147%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.8% cost of equity––$53.60–
Fair value$301.13100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 40.4
  • Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median 17.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$364.99M
Value traded per 1% price move
$156.16M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
26.7%
Volatility (annualized)
49%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.38

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

30.6%+30.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

22.5%+39.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

17.0%+32.5 pts over 5 years

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