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Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) stock analysis

MLINYSERolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous MetalsFiscal year ends December 26
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 21, 2026Score 17/303% above fair value
$55.11+0.11 (+0.20%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $12.01BP/E 14.1Yield 0.91%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance6Health6Dividend3

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Mueller Industries passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 26.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 42.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 0.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 40.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $55.11 is above our fair value estimate of $53.34.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Mueller Industries's P/E of 14.1 is above its own 5-year median of 11.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Mueller Industries's P/E of 14.1 is below the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 22.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Mueller Industries's EV/EBITDA of 9.2 is above its 5-year median of 6.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Mueller Industries's price-to-book of 3.42 is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 3.17.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $55.11 is above our fair value estimate of $53.34.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 15.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 40.6% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.8% over the last twelve months; the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median is 18.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 27.3% over the last twelve months, against 29.5% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 26.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 42.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Mueller Industries's return on equity of 26.2% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 15.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 40.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 17.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 16.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Mueller Industries's net margin of 17.3% is above the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 5.2%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 0.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 42.2% five years ago to 0.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 14690% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3259.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.39 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 13.57; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Mueller Industries paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Mueller Industries yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 16.4% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 20.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$53.34

The share price is 3% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$55.11Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E16.6×11.0×22.3×$64.8644%
EV/EBITDA8.2×6.6×9.7×$49.6939%
Earnings power9.4% cost of equity––$31.1417%
Fair value$53.34100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.0
  • Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median 22.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$98.72M
Value traded per 1% price move
$67.75M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.3%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.06
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.90

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

29.0%+11.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

22.9%+12.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.3%+12.5 pts over 5 years

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