Friedman Industries Inc (FRD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $271.78MP/E 6.6Yield 0.42%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Strong22 of 30 checks passed
Friedman Industries passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 54.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $37.68 is below our fair value estimate of $82.24.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Friedman Industries's P/E of 6.6 is below its own 5-year median of 8.5.
P/E below the industry
Friedman Industries's P/E of 6.6 is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 17.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Friedman Industries's EV/EBITDA of 3.5 is below its 5-year median of 5.8.
P/B below the industry
Friedman Industries's price-to-book of 1.51 is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 1.70.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $37.68 is below our fair value estimate of $82.24.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 54.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 255% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.3% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 73.7% over the last twelve months; the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median is 9.8%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 8.3% over the last twelve months, against -39.9% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Friedman Industries's return on equity of 25.5% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 3.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 11.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 4.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Friedman Industries's net margin of 4.6% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 4.0%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 174% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 14.1 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.68 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Friedman Industries paid dividends worth 0.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Friedman Industries yields 0.4%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 2.8% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$82.24
The share price is 54% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.8× | 8.5× | 17.3× | $73.36 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.6× | 5.8× | 11.4× | $92.39 | 47% |
| Fair value | $82.24 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.5
- Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median 17.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.82M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $904.90K
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 57%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.15
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.28
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +45.5% | +5.7% | +38.7% | +23.0% | |
| Gross profit | +821.0% | -15.9% | +1.7% | +18.5% | |
| Operating income | +743.0% | +6.8% | +10.3% | +101.4% | |
| Net income | +221.0% | -2.9% | +11.3% | +52.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +217.2% | -1.7% | +11.1% | +52.7% | |
| Free cash flow | – | -69.3% | -18.4% | +4.3% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +26.0% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -4.3% | 17.3% | 13.8% | |
| Return on assets | -4.1% | 13.3% | 6.9% | |
| Current ratio | 19.28 | 2.67 | 3.38 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.02 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 0.04× | |
| Interest coverage | – | 638.8× | 6.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.0× | 2.9× | 4.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 7M | 7M | 7M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Friedman Industries generated $95.23M from operations and spent $51.35M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 81% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 3.0% | 2.30× | 1.99× | 13.8% |
| FY2025 | 1.4% | 1.95× | 1.76× | 4.7% |
| FY2024 | 3.4% | 2.40× | 1.77× | 14.3% |
| FY2023 | 3.9% | 3.05× | 1.84× | 21.9% |
| FY2022 | 4.9% | 2.24× | 1.75× | 19.4% |
| FY2021 | 9.1% | 1.46× | 1.30× | 17.3% |
| FY2020 | -3.7% | 1.73× | 1.18× | -7.5% |
| FY2019 | 2.7% | 2.16× | 1.19× | 7.0% |
| FY2018 | 3.2% | 1.62× | 1.13× | 5.9% |
| FY2017 | -3.4% | 1.19× | 1.05× | -4.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$19.53M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$8.54M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.6% → 8.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$8.54M vs $19.53M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell0.0% → 1.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.34 → 3.38
- No dilutionShare count did not rise7M → 7M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year0.63% → 3.97%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.93 → 2.85
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