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Friedman Industries Inc (FRD) stock analysis

FRDNasdaqSteel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing MillsFiscal year ends March 31
Financials through Q2 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 22/3054% below fair value
$37.68−0.48 (-1.26%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $271.78MP/E 6.6Yield 0.42%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance5Health5Dividend3

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Friedman Industries passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 54.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.68 is below our fair value estimate of $82.24.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Friedman Industries's P/E of 6.6 is below its own 5-year median of 8.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Friedman Industries's P/E of 6.6 is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 17.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Friedman Industries's EV/EBITDA of 3.5 is below its 5-year median of 5.8.

  • P/B below the industry

    Friedman Industries's price-to-book of 1.51 is below the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 1.70.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.68 is below our fair value estimate of $82.24.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 54.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 255% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 73.7% over the last twelve months; the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median is 9.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 8.3% over the last twelve months, against -39.9% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Friedman Industries's return on equity of 25.5% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 3.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 11.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Friedman Industries's net margin of 4.6% is above the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median of 4.0%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 174% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 14.1 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.68 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Friedman Industries paid dividends worth 0.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Friedman Industries yields 0.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 2.8% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$82.24

The share price is 54% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$37.68Price$82.24Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E12.8×8.5×17.3×$73.3653%
EV/EBITDA8.6×5.8×11.4×$92.3947%
Fair value$82.24100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.5
  • Steel Works, Blast Furnaces, and Rolling and Finishing Mills median 17.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$1.82M
Value traded per 1% price move
$904.90K

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.5%
Volatility (annualized)
57%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.15
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.28

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

4.0%−14.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.0%−8.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

3.0%−6.0 pts over 5 years

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