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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) stock analysis

FPHNYSEReal EstateFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 23, 2026Score 9/3047% below fair value
$4.47+0.09 (+2.05%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $661.64MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance2Health4Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Five Point passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 47.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $4.47 is below our fair value estimate of $8.47.

  • No debt

    Five Point has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 37.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/S above the industry

    Five Point's price-to-sales of 5.61 is above the Real estate median of 4.86 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -39.1% over the last twelve months; the Real estate median is 5.4%.

  • No dividend

    Five Point has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/S above the industry

    Five Point's price-to-sales of 5.61 is above the Real estate median of 4.86 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $4.47 is below our fair value estimate of $8.47.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 47.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 37.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -39.1% over the last twelve months; the Real estate median is 5.4%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full-year 2026 consolidated net income, Oct 22, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 24.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Five Point's net margin of 24.9% is above the Real estate median of 8.6%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Five Point has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Five Point has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$8.47

The share price is 47% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$4.47Price$8.47Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA8.4×–8.4×$8.2070%
Earnings power9.3% cost of equity––$9.1030%
Fair value$8.47100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$1.12M
Value traded per 1% price move
$510.55K

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.6%
Volatility (annualized)
31%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.98
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.88

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Net margin

64.5%+64.8 pts over 5 years

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