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Farmers National Banc Corp (FMNB) stock analysis

FMNBNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 17/302% above fair value
$15.48−0.10 (-0.64%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $917.15MP/E 11.1Yield 4.39%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance3Health3Dividend5

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Farmers National Banc passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 59.6% of equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 26.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $15.48 is above our fair value estimate of $15.16.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Farmers National Banc's P/E of 11.1 is above its own 5-year median of 9.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    Farmers National Banc's P/E of 11.1 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S below the industry

    Farmers National Banc's price-to-sales of 2.63 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B below the industry

    Farmers National Banc's price-to-book of 1.28 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $15.48 is above our fair value estimate of $15.16.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -6.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 26.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 25.8% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fourth quarter of 2026 net interest margin, Oct 28, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.1%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Farmers National Banc's return on equity of 11.6% is above the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 19.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.8%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Farmers National Banc's net margin of 19.6% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health3/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 10.1% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Needs loans and deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is not reported.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 63.7% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 32.0% over the past year.

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 59.6% of equity.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Farmers National Banc paid dividends worth 4.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 4.5% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Farmers National Banc yields 4.5%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 48.8% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 41.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$15.16

The share price is 2% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$15.48Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.8×9.6×12.1×$15.0550%
P/B1.3×1.2×1.3×$15.2750%
Fair value$15.16100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.6
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$4.78M
Value traded per 1% price move
$5.30M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
8.0%
Volatility (annualized)
22%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.55
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.59

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

19.5%−12.1 pts over 5 years

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