Bristol Myers Squibb Co (BMY) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $127.39BP/E 13.8Yield 4.00%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Bristol Myers Squibb passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 31.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $62.91 is below our fair value estimate of $92.05.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.8% of total debt.
P/E below its 5-year median
Bristol Myers Squibb's P/E of 13.9 is below its own 5-year median of 18.1.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 44.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 183% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Bristol Myers Squibb's P/E of 13.9 is below its own 5-year median of 18.1.
P/E below the industry
Bristol Myers Squibb's P/E of 13.9 is below the Drugs median of 25.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Bristol Myers Squibb's EV/EBITDA of 10.1 is above its 5-year median of 9.7.
P/B above the industry
Bristol Myers Squibb's price-to-book of 5.49 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $62.91 is below our fair value estimate of $92.05.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 31.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.
Guidance lowered
Bristol Myers Squibb lowered its full-year Other income/(expense) outlook on Oct 29, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 69.2% over the last twelve months, against 69.5% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 44.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Bristol Myers Squibb's return on equity of 44.1% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 18.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Bristol Myers Squibb's net margin of 18.5% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 183% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 134% five years ago to 183%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.8% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.59 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Bristol Myers Squibb paid dividends worth 4.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 4.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Bristol Myers Squibb yields 4.0%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 55.4% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 55.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$92.05
The share price is 32% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.5× | 18.1× | 25.1× | $97.17 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.4× | 9.7× | 17.1× | $88.31 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $87.14 | 17% |
| Fair value | $92.05 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.1
- Drugs median 25.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $704.04M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $485.23M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 9.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 28%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.03
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.25
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -0.2% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +11.3% | |
| Gross profit | -0.2% | -1.7% | +2.2% | +10.5% | |
| Net income | – | +3.7% | – | +16.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +5.5% | – | +14.0% | |
| Free cash flow | -7.9% | +2.4% | -0.7% | +25.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +2.9% | +4.4% | +6.2% | +5.3% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 29.3% | -20.2% | 40.5% | |
| Return on assets | 13.6% | -7.3% | 7.7% | |
| Current ratio | 1.55 | 1.58 | 1.26 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.41 | 1.34 | 2.44 | |
| Inventory turnover | 4.0× | 3.7× | 5.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 6.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 1.68B | 2.26B | 2.04B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Bristol Myers Squibb generated $72.48B from operations and spent $48.98B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 14.6% | 0.53× | 5.25× | 40.5% |
| FY2024 | -18.5% | 0.51× | 4.10× | -39.1% |
| FY2023 | 17.8% | 0.47× | 3.17× | 26.5% |
| FY2022 | 13.7% | 0.45× | 3.08× | 18.9% |
| FY2021 | 15.1% | 0.41× | 3.09× | 19.0% |
| FY2020 | -21.2% | 0.34× | 2.78× | -20.2% |
| FY2019 | 13.2% | 0.32× | 2.51× | 10.5% |
| FY2018 | 21.8% | 0.66× | 2.66× | 38.2% |
| FY2017 | 4.8% | 0.62× | 2.41× | 7.2% |
| FY2016 | 22.9% | 0.59× | 2.15× | 29.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$7.05B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$14.16B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-9.4% → 7.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$14.16B vs $7.05B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell51.4% → 47.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.25 → 1.26
- No dilutionShare count did not rise2.03B → 2.04B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year71.08% → 71.08%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.51 → 0.52
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