Amgen Inc (AMGN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $252.51BP/E 27.1Yield 2.07%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
Amgen passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 78.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 102% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 1.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 23.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $468.11 is above our fair value estimate of $379.78.
High debt
Debt is 376% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Amgen's P/E of 27.1 is above its own 5-year median of 24.1.
P/E above the industry
Amgen's P/E of 27.1 is above the Drugs median of 25.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Amgen's EV/EBITDA of 19.2 is above its 5-year median of 16.4.
P/B above the industry
Amgen's price-to-book of 17.63 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $468.11 is above our fair value estimate of $379.78.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 23.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 34.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.2% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 8.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.
Guidance raised
Amgen raised its full year 2026 Total revenues outlook on Aug 4, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 70.9% over the last twelve months, against 66.2% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 78.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 102% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Amgen's return on equity of 78.4% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 1.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Amgen's net margin of 24.1% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 376% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 351% five years ago to 376%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.3% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.8 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.48 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.55; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Amgen paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Amgen yields 2.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 57.1% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 56.0% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$379.78
The share price is 23% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.6× | 24.1× | 25.1× | $424.41 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.8× | 16.4× | 17.1× | $398.96 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $215.99 | 17% |
| Fair value | $379.78 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 24.1
- Drugs median 25.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.20B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $815.67M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 29%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.39
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.41
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.0% | +11.8% | +7.6% | +5.4% | |
| Gross profit | +20.2% | +7.5% | +5.1% | +3.6% | |
| Operating income | +25.1% | -1.7% | -0.1% | +0.7% | |
| Net income | +88.5% | +5.6% | +1.2% | +1.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +88.2% | +5.5% | +2.9% | +4.6% | |
| Free cash flow | -22.1% | -2.7% | -3.9% | -1.2% | |
| Dividend per share | +5.8% | +6.7% | +8.0% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 26.6% | 76.1% | 106.1% | |
| Return on assets | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | |
| Current ratio | 4.11 | 1.81 | 1.14 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.16 | 3.51 | 6.31 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.64× | 2.10× | 3.19× | |
| Interest coverage | 7.8× | 7.2× | 3.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 1.6× | 1.6× | 1.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 754M | 590M | 542M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Amgen generated $48.90B from operations and spent $40.14B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 15% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 21.0% | 0.40× | 12.55× | 106.1% |
| FY2024 | 12.2% | 0.35× | 15.61× | 67.6% |
| FY2023 | 23.8% | 0.35× | 16.40× | 135.8% |
| FY2022 | 24.9% | 0.42× | 12.19× | 126.5% |
| FY2021 | 22.7% | 0.42× | 7.70× | 73.2% |
| FY2020 | 28.6% | 0.41× | 6.43× | 76.1% |
| FY2019 | 33.6% | 0.37× | 5.69× | 70.7% |
| FY2018 | 35.3% | 0.32× | 3.88× | 44.5% |
| FY2017 | 8.7% | 0.29× | 2.86× | 7.2% |
| FY2016 | 33.6% | 0.31× | 2.57× | 26.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$7.71B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$9.96B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year4.2% → 8.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$9.96B vs $7.71B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell61.6% → 55.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.26 → 1.14
- No dilutionShare count did not rise541M → 542M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year61.53% → 67.25%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.34 → 0.40
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