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Amgen Inc (AMGN) stock analysis

AMGNNasdaqBiological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 17/3023% above fair value
$467.06−1.05 (-0.22%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $252.51BP/E 27.1Yield 2.07%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth5Performance6Health2Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Amgen passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 78.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 102% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 23.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $468.11 is above our fair value estimate of $379.78.

  • High debt

    Debt is 376% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Amgen's P/E of 27.1 is above its own 5-year median of 24.1.

  • P/E above the industry

    Amgen's P/E of 27.1 is above the Drugs median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Amgen's EV/EBITDA of 19.2 is above its 5-year median of 16.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Amgen's price-to-book of 17.63 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $468.11 is above our fair value estimate of $379.78.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 23.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 34.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.

  • Guidance raised

    Amgen raised its full year 2026 Total revenues outlook on Aug 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 70.9% over the last twelve months, against 66.2% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 78.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 102% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Amgen's return on equity of 78.4% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Amgen's net margin of 24.1% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 376% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 351% five years ago to 376%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.3% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.8 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.48 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.55; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Amgen paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Amgen yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 57.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 56.0% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$379.78

The share price is 23% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$468.11Price$379.78Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E24.6×24.1×25.1×$424.4144%
EV/EBITDA16.8×16.4×17.1×$398.9639%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$215.9917%
Fair value$379.78100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 24.1
  • Drugs median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.20B
Value traded per 1% price move
$815.67M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.5%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.39
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.41

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

67.2%−8.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

24.7%−11.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

21.0%−7.6 pts over 5 years

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