BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $5.26BP/E 22.6Yield 0.72%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
BGC passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $11.07 is below our fair value estimate of $13.09.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 24.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 33.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 15.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 23.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 163% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.12; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
BGC's P/E of 22.6 is below its own 5-year median of 34.5.
P/E below the industry
BGC's P/E of 22.6 is below the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 25.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
BGC's EV/EBITDA of 14.4 is below its 5-year median of 18.0.
P/B above the industry
BGC's price-to-book of 4.84 is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 4.26.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $11.07 is below our fair value estimate of $13.09.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 15.4% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 33.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 49.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.9% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 22.9% over the last twelve months; the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median is 14.4%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (3Q 2026 Revenues, Jul 30, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 23.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
BGC's return on equity of 23.6% is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 14.2%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 24.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.7%.
Net margin above the industry
BGC's net margin of 7.1% is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 3.6%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 163% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 175% five years ago to 163%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.9% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.12; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
BGC paid dividends worth 0.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; BGC yields 0.7%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 15.9% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 7.0% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$13.09
The share price is 15% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.9× | 34.5× | 25.3× | $14.65 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.9× | 18.0× | 17.8× | $14.67 | 35% |
| P/B | 4.3× | 4.3× | 4.3× | $9.82 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.9% cost of equity | – | – | $7.41 | 15% |
| Fair value | $13.09 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 34.5
- Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median 25.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $36.12M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $24.12M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 8.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.44
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.01
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +30.0% | +17.9% | +7.4% | +0.6% | |
| Net income | +25.8% | +38.1% | +24.9% | -0.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +24.0% | +33.6% | +20.9% | -6.7% | |
| Free cash flow | +30.5% | +20.4% | +6.5% | -5.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +14.3% | +26.0% | -14.0% | -17.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 20.4% | 7.1% | 16.6% | |
| Return on assets | 4.1% | 1.3% | 3.9% | |
| Debt to equity | 0.82 | 1.75 | 1.85 | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 433M | 547M | 481M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
BGC generated $1.76B from operations and spent $1.33B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 6% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 5.3% | 0.74× | 4.28× | 16.6% |
| FY2024 | 5.4% | 0.67× | 3.79× | 13.8% |
| FY2023 | 1.9% | 0.65× | 4.02× | 5.0% |
| FY2022 | 3.3% | 0.56× | 4.98× | 9.1% |
| FY2021 | 7.6% | 0.55× | 5.31× | 22.3% |
| FY2020 | 2.5% | 0.52× | 5.51× | 7.1% |
| FY2019 | 2.1% | 0.57× | 5.10× | 6.1% |
| FY2018 | 10.4% | 0.44× | 6.32× | 28.8% |
| FY2017 | 2.9% | 0.33× | 5.76× | 5.7% |
| FY2016 | 11.9% | 0.34× | 4.97× | 20.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$154.96M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$394.35M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.9% → 4.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$394.35M vs $154.96M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell37.2% → 40.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise479M → 481M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.71 → 0.82
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