Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $60.30BP/E 29.7Yield 0.97%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
Nasdaq passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 13.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 28.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.9% a year.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $108.65 is above our fair value estimate of $85.68.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 17.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 72.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Nasdaq's P/E of 29.7 is above its own 5-year median of 28.0.
P/E above the industry
Nasdaq's P/E of 29.7 is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 25.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Nasdaq's EV/EBITDA of 23.6 is above its 5-year median of 23.3.
P/B above the industry
Nasdaq's price-to-book of 5.03 is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 4.25.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $108.65 is above our fair value estimate of $85.68.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 28.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 11.5% over the last twelve months; the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median is 14.4%.
Guidance raised
Nasdaq raised its 2026 non-GAAP operating expense outlook on Jul 23, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 63.2% over the last twelve months, against 62.0% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 17.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Nasdaq's return on equity of 17.4% is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 14.2%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 13.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 22.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Nasdaq's net margin of 22.8% is above the Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median of 3.6%.
Financial health5/6
High debt
Debt is 72.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 86.1% five years ago to 72.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 29.1% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 7.9 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.00 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.56; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Nasdaq paid dividends worth 1.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.1% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Nasdaq yields 1.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 31.3% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 28.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$85.68
The share price is 27% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.6× | 28.0× | 25.1× | $97.22 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.5× | 23.3× | 17.7× | $92.29 | 35% |
| P/B | 4.3× | 4.3× | 4.3× | $91.96 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.4% cost of equity | – | – | $35.32 | 15% |
| Fair value | $85.68 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 28.0
- Security & commodity brokers, dealers, exchanges & services median 25.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $346.91M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $254.66M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 29%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.67
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.88
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +11.6% | +9.9% | +8.0% | +9.3% | |
| Gross profit | +12.9% | +13.6% | +12.6% | +9.6% | |
| Operating income | +29.6% | +14.2% | +13.6% | +12.5% | |
| Net income | +60.1% | +16.7% | +13.9% | +15.4% | |
| EPS, diluted | +60.1% | +11.0% | +10.7% | +14.0% | |
| Free cash flow | +14.8% | +8.6% | +13.3% | +12.8% | |
| Dividend per share | +11.7% | +10.4% | +10.1% | +13.3% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 1.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | |
| Return on assets | 0.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | |
| Current ratio | 1.12 | 1.56 | 1.01 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.66 | 0.86 | 0.74 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.45× | -0.33× | 3.39× | |
| Interest coverage | 6.2× | 12.2× | 6.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 506M | 501M | 579M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Nasdaq generated $8.68B from operations and spent $5.07B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 19% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 21.6% | 0.27× | 2.62× | 15.3% |
| FY2024 | 15.1% | 0.24× | 2.85× | 10.2% |
| FY2023 | 17.5% | 0.23× | 3.13× | 12.5% |
| FY2022 | 18.1% | 0.30× | 3.27× | 17.9% |
| FY2021 | 20.2% | 0.31× | 2.97× | 18.5% |
| FY2020 | 16.6% | 0.35× | 2.64× | 15.5% |
| FY2019 | 18.2% | 0.29× | 2.67× | 14.0% |
| FY2018 | 10.7% | 0.28× | 2.74× | 8.1% |
| FY2017 | 18.5% | 0.27× | 2.54× | 12.9% |
| FY2016 | 2.9% | 0.29× | 2.29× | 1.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.79B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.26B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.5% → 5.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.26B vs $1.79B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell29.9% → 27.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.99 → 1.01
- No dilutionShare count did not rise579M → 579M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year62.82% → 63.53%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.23 → 0.27
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