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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH) stock analysis

AUPHNasdaqPharmaceutical PreparationsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 13/3061% below fair value
$16.21−0.09 (-0.55%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.17BP/E 7.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance4Health3Dividend0

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 60.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $16.21 is below our fair value estimate of $41.25.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 28.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 61.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -4.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • P/B above the industry

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's price-to-book of 3.30 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.

  • No dividend

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E below the industry

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's P/E of 7.1 is below the Drugs median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's price-to-book of 3.30 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $16.21 is below our fair value estimate of $41.25.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 60.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 28.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 21.0% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 total revenue, Oct 30, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 90.6% over the last twelve months, against 88.9% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 61.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -4.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's return on equity of 61.4% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 97.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -83.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's net margin of 97.7% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 40.4 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 6.12 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 8.55; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$41.25

The share price is 61% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$16.21Price$41.25Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.1×–25.1×$57.4553%
EV/EBITDA17.1×–17.1×$22.7447%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.2% cost of equity––$3.57–
Fair value$41.25100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Drugs median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$14.95M
Value traded per 1% price move
$10.19M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.8%
Volatility (annualized)
36%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.13
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.07

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Gross margin

88.5%−11.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

37.1%+245.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

101.5%+306.3 pts over 5 years

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