Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (AKBA) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $158.98MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak4 of 30 checks passed
Akebia Therapeutics passes 4 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.4% of total debt.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was -22.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -47.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Akebia Therapeutics's net margin of -22.6% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.36 times current liabilities.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 247% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -6.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/B above the industry
Akebia Therapeutics's price-to-book of 7.80 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Akebia Therapeutics's price-to-book of 7.80 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -12.4% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (Q4 2025 Vafseo net product revenue, Jan 12, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 78.9% over the last twelve months, against 79.0% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Akebia Therapeutics's return on equity of -144% is below the Drugs median of -58.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was -22.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -47.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Akebia Therapeutics's net margin of -22.6% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 247% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 39.4% five years ago to 247%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.4% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.36 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -6.24; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Akebia Therapeutics has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Akebia Therapeutics. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/B at month end
- Own 5-year median 9.8
- Drugs median 2.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $5.82M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $1.27M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 39.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 89%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.79
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.12
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +47.5% | -6.9% | -4.3% | – | |
| Gross profit | +102.8% | -1.7% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -136.3% | -120.8% | 64.5% | |
| Return on assets | -61.3% | -54.4% | -1.8% | |
| Current ratio | 2.59 | 1.98 | 1.55 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.39 | 1.48 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 0.35× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 3.3× | 2.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 173.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 38M | 138M | 257M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Akebia Therapeutics generated $458.15M from operations and spent $497.00K on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -2.3% | 0.79× | -36.03× | 64.5% |
| FY2024 | -43.3% | 0.69× | -5.80× | 174.0% |
| FY2023 | -26.7% | 0.65× | -23.58× | 409.6% |
| FY2022 | -32.2% | 0.66× | 11.17× | -237.8% |
| FY2021 | -133.3% | 0.36× | 3.69× | -177.2% |
| FY2020 | -130.6% | 0.42× | 2.22× | -120.8% |
| FY2019 | -83.5% | 0.38× | 1.72× | -54.4% |
| FY2018 | -69.1% | 0.31× | 1.79× | -37.9% |
| FY2017 | -40.7% | 0.55× | 3.48× | -77.3% |
| FY2016 | -8843.5% | 0.01× | 2.23× | -136.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$5.35M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$67.99M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-28.7% → -2.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$67.99M vs -$5.35M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell17.5% → 12.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.41 → 1.55
- No dilutionShare count did not rise211M → 257M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year60.56% → 83.29%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.66 → 1.07
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