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Aramark (ARMK) stock analysis

ARMKNYSERetail-Eating PlacesFiscal year ends October 2
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 11, 2026Score 11/3017% above fair value
$53.79−0.43 (-0.79%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $14.18BP/E 37.6Yield 0.78%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth4Performance2Health2Dividend3

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Aramark passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 17.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Guidance raised

    Aramark raised its full-year performance for Fiscal 2026 Organic Revenue growth outlook on Aug 11, 2026.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 28.3% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $54.22 is above our fair value estimate of $46.21.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Aramark's P/E of 37.9 is above its own 5-year median of 35.5.

  • P/E above the industry

    Aramark's P/E of 37.9 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Aramark's EV/EBITDA of 14.3 is above its 5-year median of 14.1.

  • P/B above the industry

    Aramark's price-to-book of 4.21 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.13.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $54.22 is above our fair value estimate of $46.21.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 17.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.0% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Aramark raised its full-year performance for Fiscal 2026 Organic Revenue growth outlook on Aug 11, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 8.5% over the last twelve months, against 8.5% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Aramark's return on equity of 11.8% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 7.9%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 1.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Aramark's net margin of 1.9% is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 1.9%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 181% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 339% five years ago to 181%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 14.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.28 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.58; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Aramark paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Aramark yields 0.9%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 7 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 28.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$46.21

The share price is 17% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$54.22Price$46.21Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E32.0×35.5×28.5×$45.7647%
EV/EBITDA13.2×14.1×12.3×$48.1841%
P/B3.2×3.3×3.1×$41.1212%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others9.4% cost of equity––$11.72–
Fair value$46.21100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 35.5
  • Eating and Drinking Places median 28.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$159.16M
Value traded per 1% price move
$116.11M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
6.7%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.40
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.91

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

8.4%+1.8 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.3%+6.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.8%+5.4 pts over 5 years

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