AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE Corp (ACIC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $493.36MP/E 5.8Yield 7.37%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
American Coastal Insurance passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $10.18 is below our fair value estimate of $14.09.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -165% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 42.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
P/S above the industry
American Coastal Insurance's price-to-sales of 1.59 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -5.3% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
American Coastal Insurance's P/E of 5.8 is below its own 5-year median of 7.0.
P/E below the industry
American Coastal Insurance's P/E of 5.8 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.
P/S above the industry
American Coastal Insurance's price-to-sales of 1.59 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.
P/B below the industry
American Coastal Insurance's price-to-book of 1.39 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $10.18 is below our fair value estimate of $14.09.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -5.3% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -165% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 7.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity above the industry
American Coastal Insurance's return on equity of 25.5% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 28.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -12.5%.
Net margin above the industry
American Coastal Insurance's net margin of 28.0% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 42.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 39.9% five years ago to 42.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 46.5% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.
Short-term liquidity
Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
The Altman model does not apply to insurers.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
American Coastal Insurance paid dividends worth 7.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 7.4% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; American Coastal Insurance yields 7.4%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 42.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 53.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$14.09
The share price is 28% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.7× | 7.0× | 10.4× | $15.27 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.8× | 1.9× | 1.6× | $12.91 | 50% |
| Fair value | $14.09 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 7.0
- Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $2.96M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $1.99M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 33%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.59
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.61
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +13.1% | +14.8% | -16.9% | -0.6% | |
| Operating income | +40.8% | – | – | +12.9% | |
| Net income | +41.1% | – | – | +14.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | +39.6% | – | – | +5.3% | |
| Free cash flow | -70.9% | – | – | -2.1% | |
| Dividend per share | +50.0% | – | – | +14.1% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 2.4% | -21.5% | 38.6% | |
| Return on assets | 0.7% | -3.6% | 9.3% | |
| Debt to equity | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.47 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -10.35× | 1.14× | -0.34× | |
| Interest coverage | 9.5× | -13.8× | 13.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | |
| Diluted shares | 22M | 43M | 50M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
American Coastal Insurance generated $919.04M from operations and spent $45.73M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 19% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 31.8% | 0.29× | 4.14× | 38.6% |
| FY2024 | 25.5% | 0.26× | 5.63× | 37.4% |
| FY2023 | 117.2% | 0.14× | -293.80× | -4669.4% |
| FY2022 | -212.0% | 0.08× | 42.47× | -720.8% |
| FY2021 | -25.3% | 0.08× | 7.83× | -16.4% |
| FY2020 | -11.4% | 0.32× | 5.91× | -21.5% |
| FY2019 | -3.6% | 0.34× | 4.68× | -5.8% |
| FY2018 | 0.0% | 0.33× | 4.14× | 0.1% |
| FY2017 | 1.6% | 0.43× | 3.93× | 2.6% |
| FY2016 | 1.2% | 0.56× | 3.62× | 2.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$106.84M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$71.03M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.1% → 8.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$71.03M vs $106.84M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell12.3% → 13.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise49M → 50M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.28 → 0.28
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