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AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE Corp (ACIC) stock analysis

ACICNasdaqFire, Marine & Casualty InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 17/3028% below fair value
$10.18−0.08 (-0.78%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $493.36MP/E 5.8Yield 7.37%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance4Health2Dividend5

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

American Coastal Insurance passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $10.18 is below our fair value estimate of $14.09.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -165% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 42.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • P/S above the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's price-to-sales of 1.59 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -5.3% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    American Coastal Insurance's P/E of 5.8 is below its own 5-year median of 7.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's P/E of 5.8 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.

  • P/S above the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's price-to-sales of 1.59 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.

  • P/B below the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's price-to-book of 1.39 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $10.18 is below our fair value estimate of $14.09.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -5.3% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -165% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 7.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's return on equity of 25.5% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 28.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -12.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    American Coastal Insurance's net margin of 28.0% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 42.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 39.9% five years ago to 42.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 46.5% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    American Coastal Insurance paid dividends worth 7.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 7.4% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; American Coastal Insurance yields 7.4%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 42.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 53.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$14.09

The share price is 28% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$10.18Price$14.09Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E8.7×7.0×10.4×$15.2750%
P/B1.8×1.9×1.6×$12.9150%
Fair value$14.09100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.0
  • Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$2.96M
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.99M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.1%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.59
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.61

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

41.8%+57.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

31.8%+43.2 pts over 5 years

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