Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEOWW) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $14.44MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Weak6 of 30 checks passed
Zeo Energy passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 18 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 36.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $0.25 is below our fair value estimate of $0.39.
Low debt
Debt is 0.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
P/B below the industry
Zeo Energy's price-to-book of 1.56 is below the Industrials median of 1.74.
What to watch
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -60.1 times; we look for at least 5.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -12743% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -0.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 51.1% over the last twelve months, against 58.9% a year earlier.
Valuation3/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Zeo Energy's price-to-book of 1.56 is below the Industrials median of 1.74.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $0.25 is below our fair value estimate of $0.39.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 36.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growth over 3 years
Needs three years of positive revenue.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.2% over the last twelve months; the Industrials median is 8.9%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 51.1% over the last twelve months, against 58.9% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin below the industry
Zeo Energy's net margin of -15.4% is below the Industrials median of -7.9%.
Financial health2/6
Low debt
Debt is 0.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -12743% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -60.1 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.56 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -0.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Zeo Energy has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$0.39
The share price is 37% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B | 1.7× | – | 1.7× | $0.27 | 50% |
| P/S | 0.4× | – | 0.4× | $0.50 | 50% |
| Fair value | $0.39 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.18M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $24.70K
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 58.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 123%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.73
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.56
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2021 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -5.3% | – | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +8.8% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
5 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2021 | FY2021 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 33.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | -23.8% | |
| Current ratio | 3.09 | 3.09 | 2.69 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 1.88 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | -0.19× | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | -132.0× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 36.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 1.8% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | – |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Zeo Energy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -20.2% | 1.18× | -1.41× | 33.5% |
| FY2024 | -3.6% | 1.34× | -1.87× | 9.2% |
| FY2023 | -2.7% | 0.66× | 5.40× | -9.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$14.01M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$8.69M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-5.6% → -23.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$8.69M vs -$14.01M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell0.8% → 0.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.26 → 2.69
- No dilutionShare count did not rise6M → –
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year48.03% → 55.20%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.52 → 1.14