AT&T Inc. (T.PC) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $103.95BP/E 5.0Yield 7.32%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
AT&T passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 35.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $21.41 is below our fair value estimate of $33.04.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.
P/E below its 5-year median
AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below its own 5-year median of 8.8.
What to watch
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.6 times; we look for at least 5.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below its own 5-year median of 8.8.
P/E below the industry
AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below the Telephone Communications median of 12.5.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
AT&T's EV/EBITDA of 6.3 is below its 5-year median of 7.9.
P/S below the industry
AT&T's price-to-sales of 1.15 is below the Telephone Communications median of 1.33 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $21.41 is below our fair value estimate of $33.04.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 35.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.6% over the last twelve months; the Telephone Communications median is 5.2%.
Guidance raised
AT&T raised its 2026 Legacy service revenue decline outlook on Jul 22, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 16.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.2%.
Net margin above the industry
AT&T's net margin of 16.9% is above the Telephone Communications median of 6.6%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.6 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.97 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
AT&T paid dividends worth 5.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 5.2% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; AT&T yields 5.2%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 37.2% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 45.5% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$33.04
The share price is 35% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.6× | 8.8× | 12.5× | $32.06 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.5× | 7.9× | 7.2× | $32.05 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.5% cost of equity | – | – | $37.99 | 17% |
| Fair value | $33.04 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.8
- Telephone Communications median 12.5
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.12B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $765.43M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 29%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.66
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.32
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +2.7% | +1.3% | -2.6% | -1.5% | |
| Operating income | +26.8% | – | +23.6% | -0.3% | |
| Net income | +100.5% | – | – | +5.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +104.0% | – | – | +2.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +5.0% | +6.3% | -3.1% | +1.6% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | -11.8% | -5.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on assets | 3.2% | -1.0% | 5.4% | |
| Current ratio | 0.76 | 0.82 | 0.91 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.38× | 4.83× | 2.62× | |
| Interest coverage | 4.8× | 1.1× | 3.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 13.1% | 10.3% | 16.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 6.19B | 7.47B | 7.18B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
AT&T generated $190.35B from operations and spent $149.58B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 63% of that went back into the business.
DuPont needs revenue, assets and equity
This company does not report all three for consecutive years.
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$21.95B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$40.28B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.7% → 5.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$40.28B vs $21.95B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell30.0% → 30.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.66 → 0.91
- No dilutionShare count did not rise7.20B → 7.18B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.30 → 0.32