Oracle Corp (ORCL.PD) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $395.11BP/E 20.5Yield 1.53%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
Oracle passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $130.67 is below our fair value estimate of $180.22.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 85.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.5 times; we look for at least 5.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/B above the industry
Oracle's price-to-book of 5.92 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Oracle's P/E of 20.5 is below its own 5-year median of 33.3.
P/E below the industry
Oracle's P/E of 20.5 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 26.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Oracle's EV/EBITDA of 15.5 is below its 5-year median of 23.2.
P/B above the industry
Oracle's price-to-book of 5.92 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $130.67 is below our fair value estimate of $180.22.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 23.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 52.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 21.6% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 10.8%.
Guidance raised
Oracle raised its Q2 FY 2027 Total Cloud revenue outlook on Sep 10, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 85.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Oracle's return on equity of 41.6% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -0.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 26.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Oracle's net margin of 26.4% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.9%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.5 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Oracle paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Oracle yields 1.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 31.4% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$180.22
The share price is 27% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.7× | 33.3× | 26.0× | $189.42 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.6× | 23.2× | 18.1× | $169.70 | 47% |
| Fair value | $180.22 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 33.3
- Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 26.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $4.36B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $1.49B
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 35.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 58%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.98
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.37
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +17.3% | +10.5% | +10.7% | +6.2% | |
| Operating income | +16.6% | +16.3% | +6.3% | +5.0% | |
| Net income | +37.3% | +26.2% | +4.4% | +6.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | +34.3% | +23.8% | +5.1% | +10.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +17.6% | +13.7% | +14.0% | +12.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 18.7% | 158.8% | 54.3% | |
| Return on assets | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | |
| Current ratio | 3.08 | 2.30 | 1.12 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.08 | 16.08 | 3.05 | |
| Interest coverage | 7.2× | 6.1× | 4.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | 57.7× | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 5.3% | 5.3% | 82.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 4.22B | 3.02B | 2.91B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Oracle generated $98.18B from operations and spent $138.44B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 70% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 25.4% | 0.31× | 6.83× | 54.3% |
| FY2025 | 21.7% | 0.37× | 10.61× | 85.4% |
| FY2024 | 19.8% | 0.38× | 28.16× | 214.1% |
| FY2023 | 17.0% | 0.41× | -47.34× | -330.4% |
| FY2022 | 15.8% | 0.35× | -244.81× | -1368.0% |
| FY2021 | 34.0% | 0.33× | 14.24× | 158.8% |
| FY2020 | 25.9% | 0.35× | 6.62× | 59.9% |
| FY2019 | 28.1% | 0.32× | 3.62× | 32.5% |
| FY2018 | 9.1% | 0.29× | 2.72× | 7.2% |
| FY2017 | 25.0% | 0.31× | 2.44× | 18.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$17.09B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$31.98B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year8.8% → 10.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$31.98B vs $17.09B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell50.7% → 46.7%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.75 → 1.12
- No dilutionShare count did not rise2.87B → 2.91B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.41 → 0.40