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Oracle Corp (ORCL.PD) stock analysis

ORCL.PDNYSEServices-Prepackaged SoftwareFiscal year ends May 31Also trades as ORCL
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Aug 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 11, 2026Score 19/3027% below fair value
$41.66−1.70 (-3.92%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $395.11BP/E 20.5Yield 1.53%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth5Performance5Health1Dividend3

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

Oracle passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $130.67 is below our fair value estimate of $180.22.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 85.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.5 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/B above the industry

    Oracle's price-to-book of 5.92 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Oracle's P/E of 20.5 is below its own 5-year median of 33.3.

  • P/E below the industry

    Oracle's P/E of 20.5 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 26.0.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Oracle's EV/EBITDA of 15.5 is below its 5-year median of 23.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Oracle's price-to-book of 5.92 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $130.67 is below our fair value estimate of $180.22.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 23.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 52.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 21.6% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 10.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Oracle raised its Q2 FY 2027 Total Cloud revenue outlook on Sep 10, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 85.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Oracle's return on equity of 41.6% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -0.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 26.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Oracle's net margin of 26.4% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.9%.

Financial health1/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.5 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Oracle paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Oracle yields 1.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.4% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$180.22

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$130.67Price$180.22Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E29.7×33.3×26.0×$189.4253%
EV/EBITDA20.6×23.2×18.1×$169.7047%
Fair value$180.22100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 33.3
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 26.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$4.36B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.49B

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
35.8%
Volatility (annualized)
58%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.98
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.37

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

30.6%−7.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

25.4%−8.6 pts over 5 years