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NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT.PA) stock analysis

NXDT.PANYSEReal Estate Investment TrustsFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as NXDT
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 14, 2026Score 6/3021% below fair value
$12.44+0.04 (+0.28%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $210.30MP/E –Yield 15.15%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance0Health0Dividend3

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $3.96 is below our fair value estimate of $5.00.

  • P/B below the industry

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust's price-to-book of 0.31 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Pays a dividend

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust paid dividends worth 12.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -1.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -0.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -0.1 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -0.08; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust's EV/EBITDA of 12.6 is above its 5-year median of 10.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust's price-to-book of 0.31 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $3.96 is below our fair value estimate of $5.00.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -20.5% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -1.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -0.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust's return on equity of -10.3% is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin below the industry

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust's net margin of -94.2% is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 11.4%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -0.1 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -0.08; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust paid dividends worth 12.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 12.1% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust yields 12.1%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$5.00

The share price is 21% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$3.96Price$5.00Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA10.7×10.9×10.5×$3.3978%
P/B0.8×0.3×1.2×$10.6222%
Fair value$5.00100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • EV/EBITDA at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.9
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 10.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$862.84K
Value traded per 1% price move
$469.98K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.5%
Volatility (annualized)
64%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.27
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.84

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025

Operating margin

-1.6%

Net margin

-151.4%