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Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MZHOF) stock analysis

MZHOFOTCNational Commercial BanksAlso trades as MFG
Financials through fiscal 2026, year ended Mar 31, 2026Last filing: 20-F on Jun 26, 2026Score 5/30
$52.83+2.85 (+5.70%)

Close on Oct 19, 2026Market cap $12.03BP/E 1.6Yield 19.14%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance2Health1Dividend0

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

Mizuho Financial passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 18 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 95.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.2%.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 5.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Thin capital

    Equity is 3.7% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.6% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • P/S against the industry

    Not enough revenue data to compare.

  • P/B against the industry

    Needs positive book value.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth2/6

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 95.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.6% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 5.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Mizuho Financial's return on equity of 11.1% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Mizuho Financial's net margin of 13.2% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.0%.

Financial health1/6

  • Thin capital

    Equity is 3.7% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Needs loans and deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is not reported.

  • Efficient operations

    Non-interest expense takes 58.4% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Needs deposits a year ago.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Mizuho Financial has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for Mizuho Financial. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$37.53M
Value traded per 1% price move
$23.23M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.4%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.26
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.76

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Net margin

13.2%−3.5 pts over 5 years