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Lincoln National Corp (LNC.PD) stock analysis

LNC.PDNYSELife InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as LNC
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Jul 30, 2026Score 17/3038% below fair value
$25.79−0.26 (-1.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $4.94BP/E 2.2Yield 6.98%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth1Performance4Health2Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Lincoln National passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $41.01 is below our fair value estimate of $66.35.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 3.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 22.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -9.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -332% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Lincoln National's P/E of 3.6 is below its own 5-year median of 4.2.

  • P/E below the industry

    Lincoln National's P/E of 3.6 is below the Life Insurance median of 10.6.

  • P/S below the industry

    Lincoln National's price-to-sales of 0.41 is below the Life Insurance median of 0.64.

  • P/B below the industry

    Lincoln National's price-to-book of 0.69 is below the Life Insurance median of 0.92.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $41.01 is below our fair value estimate of $66.35.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -9.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 108% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.7% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.9% over the last twelve months; the Life Insurance median is 8.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 22.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Lincoln National's return on equity of 22.6% is above the Life Insurance median of 11.7%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Lincoln National's net margin of 12.2% is above the Life Insurance median of 6.5%.

Financial health2/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 3.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 29.4% five years ago to 3.5%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -332% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Lincoln National paid dividends worth 4.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 4.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Lincoln National yields 4.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 14.6% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$66.35

The share price is 38% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$41.01Price$66.35Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E7.4×4.2×10.6×$84.9350%
P/B0.8×0.7×0.9×$47.7750%
Fair value$66.35100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 4.2
  • Life Insurance median 10.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$75.00M
Value traded per 1% price move
$60.71M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.4%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.06
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.38

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

6.5%+3.6 pts over 5 years