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Kelly Services Inc (KELYB) stock analysis

KELYBNasdaqServices-Help Supply ServicesFiscal year ends January 3Also trades as KELYA
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 7/3034% below fair value
$27.34+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $962.54MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance0Health1Dividend2

Weak7 of 30 checks passed

Kelly Services passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 33.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $16.59 is below our fair value estimate of $25.06.

  • Guidance raised

    Kelly Services raised its fourth quarter underlying revenue decline outlook on Nov 6, 2025.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 53.7% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -24.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -2.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -6.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -5.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -10.2 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Kelly Services's price-to-book of 0.59 is below the Personnel Supply Services median of 1.63.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $16.59 is below our fair value estimate of $25.06.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 33.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -5.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -9.6% over the last twelve months; the Personnel Supply Services median is 0.3%.

  • Guidance raised

    Kelly Services raised its fourth quarter underlying revenue decline outlook on Nov 6, 2025.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 19.7% over the last twelve months, against 20.6% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -24.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -2.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -6.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Kelly Services's return on equity of -24.3% is below the Personnel Supply Services median of 4.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -6.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.7%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Kelly Services's net margin of -6.7% is below the Personnel Supply Services median of -0.1%.

Financial health1/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -10.2 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.50 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.73; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Kelly Services paid dividends worth 1.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Kelly Services yields 1.8%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 53.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$25.06

The share price is 34% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$16.59Price$25.06Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B1.1×0.5×1.6×$30.4829%
P/S0.2×0.1×0.3×$27.2229%
Earnings power9.2% cost of equity––$20.0143%
Fair value$25.06100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 15.3
  • Personnel Supply Services median 19.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$4.58M
Value traded per 1% price move
$2.94M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.4%
Volatility (annualized)
41%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.97
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.84

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

20.1%+1.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-1.6%+0.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-6.0%−4.4 pts over 5 years