Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $3.39TP/E 13.9Yield 0.30%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Solid21 of 30 checks passed
Alphabet passes 21 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $279.84 is below our fair value estimate of $388.19.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 48.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Alphabet's EV/EBITDA of 22.2 is above its 5-year median of 20.7.
P/B above the industry
Alphabet's price-to-book of 5.34 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 6.7% five years ago to 15.6%.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Valuation4/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Alphabet's P/E of 14.1 is below its own 5-year median of 25.5.
P/E below the industry
Alphabet's P/E of 14.1 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 26.0.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Alphabet's EV/EBITDA of 22.2 is above its 5-year median of 20.7.
P/B above the industry
Alphabet's price-to-book of 5.34 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $279.84 is below our fair value estimate of $388.19.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 27.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 12.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 33.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 111% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 26.8% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 10.8%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (2026 CapEx investments, Feb 4, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 60.9% over the last twelve months, against 58.9% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 48.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.3% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Alphabet's return on equity of 48.7% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -0.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 26.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 54.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Alphabet's net margin of 54.8% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.9%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 15.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 6.7% five years ago to 15.6%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 185% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 65.6 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.72 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 9.34; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Alphabet paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Alphabet yields 0.3%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$388.19
The share price is 28% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 25.8× | 25.5× | 26.0× | $512.68 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 19.4× | 20.7× | 18.1× | $245.92 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 11.0% cost of equity | – | – | $53.47 | – |
| Fair value | $388.19 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 25.5
- Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 26.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $10.22B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $7.37B
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.6%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.07
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.20
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.1% | +12.5% | +17.2% | +18.3% | |
| Gross profit | +18.0% | +15.3% | +19.7% | +17.8% | |
| Operating income | +14.8% | +19.9% | +25.6% | +20.9% | |
| Net income | +32.0% | +30.1% | +26.8% | +23.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | +34.5% | +33.3% | +29.8% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +0.7% | +6.9% | +11.3% | +16.0% | |
| Dividend per share | +38.3% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 15.0% | 19.0% | 35.7% | |
| Return on assets | 12.4% | 13.5% | 25.3% | |
| Current ratio | 6.29 | 3.07 | 2.01 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.12 | |
| Interest coverage | 191.3× | 305.4× | 175.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 92.6× | 98.1× | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 11.3% | 12.2% | 22.7% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 12.23B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Alphabet generated $574.91B from operations and spent $528.78B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 44% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 32.8% | 0.77× | 1.41× | 35.7% |
| FY2024 | 28.6% | 0.82× | 1.40× | 32.9% |
| FY2023 | 24.0% | 0.80× | 1.42× | 27.4% |
| FY2022 | 21.2% | 0.78× | 1.43× | 23.6% |
| FY2021 | 29.5% | 0.76× | 1.43× | 32.1% |
| FY2020 | 22.1% | 0.61× | 1.40× | 19.0% |
| FY2019 | 21.2% | 0.64× | 1.34× | 18.1% |
| FY2018 | 22.5% | 0.64× | 1.30× | 18.6% |
| FY2017 | 11.4% | 0.61× | 1.25× | 8.7% |
| FY2016 | 21.6% | 0.57× | 1.21× | 15.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$132.17B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$164.71B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year24.9% → 29.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$164.71B vs $132.17B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell2.4% → 7.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.84 → 2.01
- No dilutionShare count did not rise12.45B → 12.23B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year58.20% → 59.65%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.87 → 0.89