Capital One Financial Corp (COF.PL) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $125.67BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Capital One Financial passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Modest borrowings
Borrowings other than deposits are 39.9% of equity.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 16.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 6.4% of free cash flow.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 18.0% of net income.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 2.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -39.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Return on equity below the industry
Capital One Financial's return on equity of 9.4% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.
Valuation2/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
P/S below the industry
Capital One Financial's price-to-sales of 2.03 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.64.
P/B below the industry
Capital One Financial's price-to-book of 1.10 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.27.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 16.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -39.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 45.3% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 1.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity below the industry
Capital One Financial's return on equity of 9.4% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 2.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 17.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.4%.
Net margin below the industry
Capital One Financial's net margin of 17.0% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.0%.
Financial health4/6
Well capitalized
Equity is 16.9% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Needs loans and deposits.
Adequate loan-loss reserve
The allowance for credit losses is not reported.
Efficient operations
Non-interest expense takes 56.6% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.
Deposits growing
Deposits grew 3.4% over the past year.
Modest borrowings
Borrowings other than deposits are 39.9% of equity.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Capital One Financial paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Capital One Financial yields 1.6%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 18.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 6.4% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Capital One Financial. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 9.7
- Commercial Banks median 12.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $765.05M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $650.04M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 31%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.34
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.30
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +36.6% | +16.0% | +13.4% | +8.6% | |
| Net income | -48.4% | -30.7% | -2.0% | -4.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | -65.2% | -39.2% | -4.9% | -5.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +54.2% | +26.6% | +10.3% | +10.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | |
| Return on assets | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| Debt to equity | 1.27 | 0.67 | 0.45 | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | |
| Diluted shares | 510M | 459M | 541M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Capital One Financial generated $92.57B from operations and spent $28.96B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 19% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 4.6% | 0.09× | 6.65× | 2.8% |
| FY2024 | 12.1% | 0.08× | 8.15× | 8.0% |
| FY2023 | 13.3% | 0.08× | 8.44× | 8.8% |
| FY2022 | 21.5% | 0.08× | 7.81× | 13.0% |
| FY2021 | 40.7% | 0.07× | 7.04× | 20.4% |
| FY2020 | 9.5% | 0.07× | 6.87× | 4.6% |
| FY2019 | 19.4% | 0.07× | 6.96× | 10.1% |
| FY2018 | 21.4% | 0.08× | 7.35× | 12.0% |
| FY2017 | 7.3% | 0.08× | 7.51× | 4.1% |
| FY2016 | 14.7% | 0.07× | 7.29× | 7.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.45B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$27.72B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.0% → 0.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$27.72B vs $2.45B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell9.2% → 7.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise384M → 541M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.08 → 0.11