StockData
First Busey Corp logo

First Busey Corp (BUSEP) stock analysis

BUSEPNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as BUSE
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 19/307% below fair value
$25.37+0.20 (+0.79%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $2.09BP/E 10.5Yield 3.94%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance3Health4Dividend4

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

First Busey passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $28.81 is below our fair value estimate of $31.09.

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 4.0% of equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 16.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -13.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    First Busey's return on equity of 9.6% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    First Busey's P/E of 11.9 is below its own 5-year median of 12.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    First Busey's P/E of 11.9 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.3.

  • P/S below the industry

    First Busey's price-to-sales of 3.01 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.64.

  • P/B below the industry

    First Busey's price-to-book of 1.00 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.27.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $28.81 is below our fair value estimate of $31.09.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 16.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -13.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 198% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 41.4% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (remainder of 2026 Cash flows from our securities portfolio, Jul 28, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.2%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    First Busey's return on equity of 9.6% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 29.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.9%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    First Busey's net margin of 29.3% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 13.1% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 86.1% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.3% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 61.1% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits shrinking

    Deposits fell 4.3% over the past year.

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 4.0% of equity.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    First Busey paid dividends worth 3.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; First Busey yields 3.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 46.8% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 51.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$31.09

The share price is 7% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$28.81Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E12.1×12.0×12.3×$29.3850%
P/B1.1×1.0×1.3×$32.8050%
Fair value$31.09100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.0
  • Commercial Banks median 12.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$24.27M
Value traded per 1% price move
$28.55M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
7.0%
Volatility (annualized)
21%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.10
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.62

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

18.8%