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BHP Group Ltd (BHPLF) stock analysis

BHPLFOTCMetal MiningFiscal year ends June 30Also trades as BHP
Financials through fiscal 2026, year ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 20-F on Aug 18, 2026Score 8/30
$40.75+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 19, 2026Market cap $207.88BP/E 21.2Yield 3.25%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance4Health2Dividend0

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

BHP passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 19.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.1% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 40.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 9.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -2.7% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 11.6 times.

What to watch

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 2.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.0%.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B against the industry

    Needs positive book value.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth2/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 9.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -2.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.6% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 12.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 19.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.1% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 40.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    BHP's return on equity of 19.9% is above the Materials median of -15.3%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 2.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    BHP's net margin of 16.7% is above the Materials median of -8.7%.

Financial health2/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 11.6 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.88 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    BHP has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for BHP. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$248.50M
Value traded per 1% price move
$186.19M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.9%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.12
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.90

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2026

Operating margin

40.6%−4.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

16.7%−3.1 pts over 5 years