Atlanticus Holdings Corp (ATLCZ) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $1.42BP/E 12.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Atlanticus passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 35.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $93.46 is below our fair value estimate of $143.75.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 24.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.5% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.59; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E above its 5-year median
Atlanticus's P/E of 12.2 is above its own 5-year median of 8.5.
P/E above the industry
Atlanticus's P/E of 12.2 is above the Personal Credit Institutions median of 12.2.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Atlanticus's P/E of 12.2 is above its own 5-year median of 8.5.
P/E above the industry
Atlanticus's P/E of 12.2 is above the Personal Credit Institutions median of 12.2.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Atlanticus's EV/EBITDA of 1.3 is below its 5-year median of 1.5.
P/B above the industry
Atlanticus's price-to-book of 2.02 is above the Personal Credit Institutions median of 1.93.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $93.46 is below our fair value estimate of $143.75.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 35.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 23.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 25.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 83.7% over the last twelve months; the Personal Credit Institutions median is 10.0%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 92.6% over the last twelve months, against 91.0% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 24.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.5% over five years.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Atlanticus's return on equity of 24.3% is above the Personal Credit Institutions median of 22.7%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.1%.
Net margin below the industry
Atlanticus's net margin of 5.8% is below the Personal Credit Institutions median of 14.4%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.59; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Atlanticus has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$143.75
The share price is 35% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.3× | 8.5× | 12.2× | $79.28 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.5× | 1.5× | 5.6× | $191.94 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.5× | 1.9× | $79.64 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 14.0% cost of equity | – | – | $245.98 | 15% |
| Fair value | $143.75 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.5
- Personal Credit Institutions median 12.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.69M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.85M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 52%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.19
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.80
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +50.1% | +23.4% | +28.4% | +41.8% | |
| Gross profit | +51.5% | +23.9% | +29.3% | +54.8% | |
| Net income | +9.8% | -3.4% | +5.4% | +53.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | +24.9% | +0.7% | +8.6% | +47.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -75.7% | 240.7% | 22.2% | |
| Return on assets | -2.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.5% | 0.1% | – | |
| Diluted shares | 14M | 20M | 19M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Atlanticus does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 6.2% | 0.36× | 9.89× | 22.2% |
| FY2024 | 8.5% | 0.44× | 6.73× | 25.1% |
| FY2023 | 8.9% | 0.45× | 7.06× | 28.5% |
| FY2022 | 13.0% | 0.48× | 7.05× | 44.1% |
| FY2021 | 23.8% | 0.47× | 8.63× | 97.4% |
| FY2020 | 16.7% | 0.53× | 27.41× | 240.7% |
| FY2019 | 5.8% | 0.60× | -72.73× | -253.2% |
| FY2018 | 141.4% | 0.01× | -17.44× | -27.2% |
| FY2017 | -773.4% | 0.01× | -26.06× | 269.7% |
| FY2016 | -8.3% | 0.24× | 38.41× | -75.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$122.20M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$637.96M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year4.1% → 3.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$637.96M vs $122.20M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise19M → 19M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year90.97% → 91.83%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.48 → 0.60