Waterdrop Inc. (WDH) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $364.49MP/E 4.5Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
Waterdrop passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 18 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 0.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 12.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 519% of total debt.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 43.5% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median is 9.2%.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -19.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
No dividend
Waterdrop has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
P/S against the industry
Not enough revenue data to compare.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 12.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 43.5% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median is 9.2%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.4% over the last twelve months and averaged -19.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 8.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity above the industry
Waterdrop's return on equity of 11.4% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 9.3%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 14.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Waterdrop's net margin of 14.3% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.9%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 0.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 519% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.10 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
The Altman model does not apply to insurers.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Waterdrop has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Waterdrop. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $234.29K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $325.36K
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.16
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.60
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +43.5% | +12.4% | +5.6% | – | |
| Operating income | +108.2% | -8.1% | – | – | |
| Net income | +54.8% | -2.2% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +50.0% | 0.0% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | -2.1% | -34.2% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
8 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2018 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 56.2% | 11.4% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 8.4% | |
| Current ratio | – | 3.57 | 2.10 | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 1.17B | 3.71B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Waterdrop generated CN¥2.95B from operations and spent CN¥1.41B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 22% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 14.3% | 0.59× | 1.36× | 11.4% |
| FY2024 | 13.3% | 0.44× | 1.34× | 7.8% |
| FY2023 | 6.4% | 0.44× | 1.29× | 3.6% |
| FY2022 | 21.7% | 0.50× | 1.28× | 13.9% |
| FY2021 | -49.1% | 0.64× | 4.30× | -135.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zeroCN¥568.94M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroCN¥243.92M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.0% → 8.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeCN¥243.92M vs CN¥568.94M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.12 → 2.10
- No dilutionShare count did not rise3.72B → 3.71B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.45 → 0.62
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