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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) stock analysis

VNOMNasdaqCrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 11/30157% above fair value
$40.88−0.25 (-0.61%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $14.68BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance2Health3Dividend3

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Viper Energy passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 17.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 69.4% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance raised

    Viper Energy raised its Q3 2026 Q3 2026 Net Production - Mboe/d outlook on Aug 3, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 157% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $41.13 is above our fair value estimate of $16.03.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 5.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Viper Energy's EV/EBITDA of 27.3 is above its 5-year median of 11.1.

  • P/B above the industry

    Viper Energy's price-to-book of 2.88 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $41.13 is above our fair value estimate of $16.03.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 157% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 17.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 92.1% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Viper Energy raised its Q3 2026 Q3 2026 Net Production - Mboe/d outlook on Aug 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 5.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Viper Energy's return on equity of 5.7% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Viper Energy's net margin of 12.1% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 46.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 69.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 5.92 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Viper Energy paid dividends worth 7.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 7.2% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Viper Energy yields 7.2%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 168% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$16.03

The share price is 157% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$41.13Price$16.03Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA7.0×11.1×5.3×$9.5658%
P/B1.4×1.6×1.3×$19.9017%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$28.5825%
Fair value$16.03100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 14.0
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$97.48M
Value traded per 1% price move
$57.18M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.2%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.16
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.52

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2013 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

-10.0%−31.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-4.9%+71.9 pts over 5 years

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