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Textron Inc (TXT) stock analysis

TXTNYSEAircraft & PartsFiscal year ends January 2
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 3, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 17/3021% below fair value
$84.31−1.63 (-1.90%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $14.28BP/E 15.2Yield 0.09%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance3Health4Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Textron passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $85.94 is below our fair value estimate of $108.38.

  • No debt

    Textron has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 8.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 17.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.4% a year.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Textron's P/E of 15.5 is below its own 5-year median of 18.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Textron's P/E of 15.5 is below the Aircraft and Parts median of 27.6.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Textron's price-to-book of 1.79 is below the Aircraft and Parts median of 2.88.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $85.94 is below our fair value estimate of $108.38.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 8.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 17.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.5% over the last twelve months; the Aircraft and Parts median is 16.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Textron raised its 2026 Adjusted net income - Non-GAAP outlook on Jul 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Textron's return on equity of 12.5% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 9.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 6.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Textron's net margin of 6.3% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 5.5%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Textron has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Textron paid dividends worth 0.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Textron yields 0.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 1.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 2.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$108.38

The share price is 21% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$85.94Price$108.38Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.8×18.1×27.6×$127.0262%
P/B2.5×2.1×2.9×$119.1815%
Earnings power9.4% cost of equity––$51.4923%
Fair value$108.38100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.1
  • Aircraft and Parts median 27.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$143.66M
Value traded per 1% price move
$110.51M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.0%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.01
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.90

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Net margin

6.2%+3.6 pts over 5 years

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