TransDigm Group INC (TDG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $66.50BP/E 33.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Mixed11 of 30 checks passed
TransDigm passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $1203.00 is below our fair value estimate of $1348.93.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 1.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.4% a year.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 6.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.78; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation3/6
P/E below its 5-year median
TransDigm's P/E of 33.9 is below its own 5-year median of 45.9.
P/E above the industry
TransDigm's P/E of 33.9 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 26.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
TransDigm's EV/EBITDA of 18.7 is below its 5-year median of 25.6.
P/S above the industry
TransDigm's price-to-sales of 6.30 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 2.28 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $1203.00 is below our fair value estimate of $1348.93.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 17.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 1.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 19.5% over the last twelve months; the Aircraft and Parts median is 18.0%.
Guidance raised
TransDigm raised its fiscal 2026 Net sales outlook on Aug 4, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 59.2% over the last twelve months, against 60.1% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 20.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.1%.
Net margin above the industry
TransDigm's net margin of 20.0% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 5.5%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 6.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.90 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.78; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
TransDigm has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$1,348.93
The share price is 11% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 36.1× | 45.9× | 26.3× | $1,282.82 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.0× | 25.6× | 16.3× | $1,424.47 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.0% cost of equity | – | – | $338.80 | – |
| Fair value | $1,348.93 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 45.9
- Aircraft and Parts median 26.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $448.18M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $361.66M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 28%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.41
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.00
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +19.5% | +17.0% | +17.1% | +12.8% | |
| Gross profit | +17.8% | +17.6% | +20.0% | +13.7% | |
| Operating income | +15.5% | +18.1% | +23.3% | +14.3% | |
| Net income | +1.6% | +17.5% | +25.4% | +13.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | +10.7% | +17.2% | +27.8% | +13.1% | |
| Free cash flow | +5.3% | +15.7% | +18.8% | +11.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -33.1% | -19.7% | -21.4% | |
| Return on assets | 5.8% | 3.6% | 8.3% | |
| Current ratio | 2.45 | 4.23 | 2.90 | |
| Debt to equity | -3.88 | -6.74 | -3.39 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 6.66× | 7.65× | 6.01× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.1× | 1.9× | 1.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 56M | 58M | 58M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
TransDigm generated $8.59B from operations and spent $17.94B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 5% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 20.0% | 0.41× | -2.59× | -21.4% |
| FY2025 | 23.5% | 0.36× | -3.04× | -26.0% |
| FY2024 | 21.6% | 0.35× | -5.51× | -41.4% |
| FY2023 | 19.7% | 0.35× | -6.61× | -45.1% |
| FY2022 | 16.0% | 0.29× | -5.59× | -25.9% |
| FY2021 | 14.2% | 0.25× | -5.47× | -19.7% |
| FY2020 | 13.7% | 0.29× | -5.05× | -20.4% |
| FY2019 | 17.0% | 0.37× | -6.05× | -37.9% |
| FY2018 | 25.1% | 0.34× | -4.66× | -40.2% |
| FY2017 | 17.0% | 0.34× | -5.75× | -33.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.11B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.19B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year8.1% → 9.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.19B vs $2.11B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell127.3% → 120.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.21 → 2.90
- No dilutionShare count did not rise58M → 58M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year60.14% → 59.24%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.35 → 0.46
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