Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $12.36BP/E 29.6Yield 1.44%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Texas Roadhouse passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 29.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $188.36 is above our fair value estimate of $151.27.
P/E above its 5-year median
Texas Roadhouse's P/E of 29.6 is above its own 5-year median of 27.0.
P/E above the industry
Texas Roadhouse's P/E of 29.6 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Texas Roadhouse's P/E of 29.6 is above its own 5-year median of 27.0.
P/E above the industry
Texas Roadhouse's P/E of 29.6 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Texas Roadhouse's EV/EBITDA of 17.1 is above its 5-year median of 15.8.
P/B above the industry
Texas Roadhouse's price-to-book of 7.78 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.13.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $188.36 is above our fair value estimate of $151.27.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 15.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 9.2% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.
Guidance lowered
Texas Roadhouse lowered its 2026 Wage and other labor inflation outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 29.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 25.9% five years ago to 3.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 1613% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.38 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 6.17; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
Texas Roadhouse paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Texas Roadhouse yields 1.6%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 47.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$151.27
The share price is 25% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.7× | 27.0× | 28.5× | $176.38 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.1× | 15.8× | 12.3× | $155.39 | 35% |
| P/B | 5.3× | 7.4× | 3.1× | $128.55 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.5% cost of equity | – | – | $89.83 | 15% |
| Fair value | $151.27 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 27.0
- Eating and Drinking Places median 28.5
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $233.81M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $132.25M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 19.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 32%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.38
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.73
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.4% | +13.5% | +19.6% | +12.5% | |
| Operating income | -8.1% | +14.0% | +81.9% | +12.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | -5.7% | +15.4% | +68.4% | +16.1% | |
| Free cash flow | -14.3% | +8.8% | +35.1% | +20.2% | |
| Dividend per share | +11.5% | +13.9% | +49.8% | +18.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 16.3% | 3.4% | – | |
| Return on assets | 10.4% | 1.5% | – | |
| Current ratio | 0.72 | 1.01 | 0.50 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.00 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -0.24× | -0.87× | -0.20× | |
| Interest coverage | 137.0× | – | – | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 99.2× | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 71M | 70M | 67M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Texas Roadhouse generated $3.03B from operations and spent $2.78B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 55% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 6.7% | 1.59× | 2.43× | 26.1% |
| FY2021 | 7.1% | 1.43× | 2.44× | 24.7% |
| FY2020 | 1.3% | 1.11× | 2.34× | 3.4% |
| FY2019 | 6.3% | 1.60× | 1.85× | 18.7% |
| FY2018 | 6.4% | 1.76× | 1.57× | 17.7% |
| FY2017 | 5.9% | 1.77× | 1.58× | 16.6% |
| FY2016 | 5.8% | 1.80× | 1.56× | 16.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$730.07M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$730.07M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.62 → 0.50
- No dilutionShare count did not rise67M → 67M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.92 → 1.84
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