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Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) stock analysis

TRGPNYSENatural Gas TransmissionFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 10/3027% above fair value
$291.78+10.46 (+3.72%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $62.57BP/E 25.8Yield 1.29%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance5Health1Dividend1

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Targa Resources passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 75.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 44.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 29.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.2% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $291.78 is above our fair value estimate of $230.16.

  • High debt

    Debt is 505% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Targa Resources's P/E of 25.8 is below its own 5-year median of 27.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    Targa Resources's P/E of 25.8 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Targa Resources's EV/EBITDA of 14.1 is above its 5-year median of 12.5.

  • P/B above the industry

    Targa Resources's price-to-book of 16.40 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.10.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $291.78 is above our fair value estimate of $230.16.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 29.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.7% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Targa Resources lowered its 2026 net maintenance capital expenditures outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 41.8% over the last twelve months, against 36.0% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 75.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 44.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Targa Resources's return on equity of 75.0% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Targa Resources's net margin of 13.5% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 505% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 292% five years ago to 505%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.2% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.74 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.66; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Targa Resources paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Targa Resources yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$230.16

The share price is 27% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$291.78Price$230.16Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.5×27.7×17.3×$254.9444%
EV/EBITDA12.4×12.5×12.3×$247.2339%
Earnings power8.1% cost of equity––$124.2117%
Fair value$230.16100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.7
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$374.06M
Value traded per 1% price move
$227.62M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
6.4%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
2.28
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.65

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

38.3%+1.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

19.6%+35.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.3%+30.1 pts over 5 years

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