Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $62.57BP/E 25.8Yield 1.29%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Targa Resources passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 75.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 44.2% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 29.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.2% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $291.78 is above our fair value estimate of $230.16.
High debt
Debt is 505% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Targa Resources's P/E of 25.8 is below its own 5-year median of 27.7.
P/E above the industry
Targa Resources's P/E of 25.8 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Targa Resources's EV/EBITDA of 14.1 is above its 5-year median of 12.5.
P/B above the industry
Targa Resources's price-to-book of 16.40 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.10.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $291.78 is above our fair value estimate of $230.16.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 26.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 29.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 4.7% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.
Guidance lowered
Targa Resources lowered its 2026 net maintenance capital expenditures outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 41.8% over the last twelve months, against 36.0% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 75.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 44.2% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Targa Resources's return on equity of 75.0% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 13.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Targa Resources's net margin of 13.5% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 505% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 292% five years ago to 505%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.2% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.74 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.66; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Targa Resources paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Targa Resources yields 1.2%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$230.16
The share price is 27% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.5× | 27.7× | 17.3× | $254.94 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.4× | 12.5× | 12.3× | $247.23 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 8.1% cost of equity | – | – | $124.21 | 17% |
| Fair value | $230.16 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 27.7
- Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $374.06M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $227.62M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 6.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 30%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 2.28
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.65
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.9% | -6.6% | +15.6% | – | |
| Gross profit | +14.8% | +17.2% | +16.2% | +13.6% | |
| Operating income | +23.6% | +24.4% | – | +35.5% | |
| Net income | +46.6% | +17.2% | – | +41.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | +47.9% | +29.8% | – | +22.8% | |
| Free cash flow | -14.6% | -17.7% | -5.9% | +10.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +36.4% | +38.9% | +25.4% | +1.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -5.6% | -41.0% | 67.9% | |
| Return on assets | -1.4% | -9.0% | 8.0% | |
| Current ratio | 0.86 | 0.82 | 0.67 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.93 | 2.92 | 5.43 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.91× | -17.10× | 3.40× | |
| Inventory turnover | 27.4× | 30.2× | 27.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 10.1% | 11.5% | 19.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 154M | 232M | 217M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Targa Resources generated $15.46B from operations and spent $12.57B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 84% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 11.3% | 0.71× | 8.47× | 67.9% |
| FY2024 | 8.0% | 0.75× | 8.14× | 49.2% |
| FY2023 | 8.4% | 0.80× | 7.44× | 49.8% |
| FY2022 | 5.7% | 1.20× | 7.43× | 51.1% |
| FY2021 | 0.4% | 1.09× | 6.66× | 3.1% |
| FY2020 | -18.8% | 0.48× | 4.58× | -41.0% |
| FY2019 | -2.4% | 0.49× | 3.25× | -3.8% |
| FY2018 | 0.0% | 0.67× | 2.56× | 0.0% |
| FY2017 | 0.6% | 0.65× | 2.39× | 0.9% |
| FY2016 | -3.4% | 0.43× | 3.89× | -5.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.92B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$3.92B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.3% → 8.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$3.92B vs $1.92B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell60.6% → 66.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.72 → 0.67
- No dilutionShare count did not rise221M → 217M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year34.66% → 38.29%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.79 → 0.75
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