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Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) stock analysis

KMINYSENatural Gas TransmissionFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as EP.PC
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 23, 2026Score 11/309% above fair value
$31.59+0.40 (+1.28%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $70.37BP/E 19.5Yield 3.69%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth0Performance3Health2Dividend4

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Kinder Morgan passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 91.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.4% of total debt.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Kinder Morgan's P/E of 19.5 is below its own 5-year median of 21.1.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 85.6% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.59 is above our fair value estimate of $29.05.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Kinder Morgan's P/E of 19.5 is below its own 5-year median of 21.1.

  • P/E above the industry

    Kinder Morgan's P/E of 19.5 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Kinder Morgan's EV/EBITDA of 13.3 is below its 5-year median of 13.5.

  • P/B above the industry

    Kinder Morgan's price-to-book of 2.23 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.10.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.59 is above our fair value estimate of $29.05.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -4.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 6.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 32.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 91.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.7% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Kinder Morgan lowered its the year Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Jul 22, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 66.4% over the last twelve months, against 67.6% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Kinder Morgan's return on equity of 11.6% is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 12.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 91.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 19.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Kinder Morgan's net margin of 19.6% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 105% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 110% five years ago to 105%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.67 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.26; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Kinder Morgan paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Kinder Morgan yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 73.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 85.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$29.05

The share price is 9% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$31.59Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.2×21.1×17.3×$31.0940%
EV/EBITDA12.9×13.5×12.3×$30.7735%
P/B1.8×1.4×2.1×$25.0410%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$22.2715%
Fair value$29.05100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.1
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$467.43M
Value traded per 1% price move
$317.28M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
7.2%
Volatility (annualized)
22%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.55
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.50

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

67.4%−10.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

27.9%+14.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.0%+17.0 pts over 5 years

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