Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $2.04BP/E 20.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Tecnoglass passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 36.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 46.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $45.87 is above our fair value estimate of $40.20.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Tecnoglass's P/E of 20.8 is above its own 5-year median of 13.6.
P/E below the industry
Tecnoglass's P/E of 20.8 is below the Materials median of 21.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Tecnoglass's EV/EBITDA of 11.0 is above its 5-year median of 8.3.
P/B above the industry
Tecnoglass's price-to-book of 2.50 is above the Materials median of 2.33.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $45.87 is above our fair value estimate of $40.20.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -45.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 46.2% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 12.5% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 2.3%.
Guidance lowered
Tecnoglass lowered its full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Nov 5, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 37.3% over the last twelve months, against 43.9% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Tecnoglass's return on equity of 12.6% is above the Materials median of 5.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 46.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 9.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Tecnoglass's net margin of 9.0% is above the Materials median of 2.8%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 36.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 108% five years ago to 36.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 21.7% of total debt.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.90 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.72; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
Tecnoglass paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.0% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Tecnoglass yields 1.0%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 27.2% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$40.20
The share price is 14% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 17.4× | 13.6× | 21.3× | $38.53 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.3× | 8.3× | 12.2× | $42.36 | 35% |
| P/B | 3.3× | 4.2× | 2.3× | $59.88 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.2% cost of equity | – | – | $26.45 | 15% |
| Fair value | $40.20 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 13.6
- Materials median 21.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $15.38M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $5.89M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 42%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.13
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.05
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.5% | +11.1% | +21.2% | +15.0% | |
| Gross profit | +10.9% | +6.4% | +24.8% | +16.6% | |
| Operating income | +1.6% | +0.6% | +28.6% | +19.3% | |
| Net income | -1.1% | +0.8% | +46.2% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -0.3% | +1.5% | +46.3% | – | |
| Free cash flow | -62.1% | -21.2% | -8.4% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 30.6% | 12.1% | 23.7% | |
| Return on assets | 6.5% | 4.3% | 14.0% | |
| Current ratio | 2.69 | 3.03 | 1.86 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.76 | 1.08 | 0.24 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.72× | 1.82× | 0.26× | |
| Interest coverage | 2.8× | 3.2× | 38.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.7× | 2.9× | 3.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 7.5% | 4.9% | 10.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 33M | 46M | 47M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Tecnoglass generated $704.29M from operations and spent $605.82M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 63% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 16.2% | 0.86× | 1.69× | 23.7% |
| FY2024 | 18.1% | 0.90× | 1.68× | 27.4% |
| FY2023 | 21.9% | 0.98× | 1.89× | 40.8% |
| FY2022 | 21.7% | 1.08× | 2.24× | 52.6% |
| FY2021 | 13.7% | 0.89× | 2.48× | 30.2% |
| FY2020 | 6.3% | 0.68× | 2.79× | 12.1% |
| FY2019 | 5.7% | 0.81× | 3.32× | 15.4% |
| FY2018 | 2.4% | 0.77× | 3.79× | 7.2% |
| FY2017 | 1.7% | 0.73× | 3.69× | 4.7% |
| FY2016 | 7.6% | 0.85× | 4.73× | 30.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$159.57M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$135.76M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year16.8% → 15.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$135.76M vs $159.57M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell10.6% → 13.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.11 → 1.86
- No dilutionShare count did not rise47M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year42.68% → 42.84%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.92 → 0.97
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