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Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) stock analysis

EXPNYSECement, HydraulicFiscal year ends March 31
Financials through Q2 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 12/307% below fair value
$184.24−3.61 (-1.92%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.65BP/E 15.3Yield 0.54%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance4Health2Dividend3

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

Eagle Materials passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $184.24 is below our fair value estimate of $197.12.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 24.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.1% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.3% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • High debt

    Debt is 114% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Eagle Materials's P/E of 15.3 is below its own 5-year median of 15.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Eagle Materials's P/E of 15.3 is below the Materials median of 21.9.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Eagle Materials's price-to-book of 3.68 is above the Materials median of 2.43.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $184.24 is below our fair value estimate of $197.12.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -15.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.6% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 2.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 25.8% over the last twelve months, against 29.0% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 24.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.1% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Eagle Materials's return on equity of 24.5% is above the Materials median of 5.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Eagle Materials's net margin of 16.1% is above the Materials median of 2.8%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 114% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 74.2% five years ago to 114%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.3% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.29 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Eagle Materials paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Eagle Materials yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 8.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 20.2% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$197.12

The share price is 7% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$184.24Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E18.7×15.5×21.9×$225.1962%
P/B3.6×4.8×2.4×$180.7315%
Earnings power10.5% cost of equity––$133.2023%
Fair value$197.12100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 15.5
  • Materials median 21.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$79.71M
Value traded per 1% price move
$52.47M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.5%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.44
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.12

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

28.3%+3.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

18.4%−2.6 pts over 5 years

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