Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.65BP/E 15.3Yield 0.54%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Eagle Materials passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $184.24 is below our fair value estimate of $197.12.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 24.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.1% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.3% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 6.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
High debt
Debt is 114% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation3/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Eagle Materials's P/E of 15.3 is below its own 5-year median of 15.5.
P/E below the industry
Eagle Materials's P/E of 15.3 is below the Materials median of 21.9.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Eagle Materials's price-to-book of 3.68 is above the Materials median of 2.43.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $184.24 is below our fair value estimate of $197.12.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 6.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -15.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 1.6% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 2.3%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 25.8% over the last twelve months, against 29.0% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 24.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.1% over five years.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Eagle Materials's return on equity of 24.5% is above the Materials median of 5.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 16.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Eagle Materials's net margin of 16.1% is above the Materials median of 2.8%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 114% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 74.2% five years ago to 114%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.3% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.29 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Eagle Materials paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Eagle Materials yields 0.5%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 8.3% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 20.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$197.12
The share price is 7% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.7× | 15.5× | 21.9× | $225.19 | 62% |
| P/B | 3.6× | 4.8× | 2.4× | $180.73 | 15% |
| Earnings power | 10.5% cost of equity | – | – | $133.20 | 23% |
| Fair value | $197.12 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 15.5
- Materials median 21.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $79.71M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $52.47M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.44
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.12
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +2.1% | +2.4% | +7.3% | +7.3% | |
| Gross profit | -3.1% | +0.7% | +9.8% | +10.9% | |
| Net income | -8.5% | -2.8% | +4.5% | +10.8% | |
| EPS, diluted | -4.4% | +1.8% | +10.1% | +15.7% | |
| Free cash flow | -44.1% | -22.9% | -19.6% | +1.1% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | +58.5% | +9.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 17.7% | 29.2% | 28.9% | |
| Return on assets | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | |
| Current ratio | 1.75 | 3.91 | 3.66 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.57 | 0.74 | 1.19 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.52× | 1.30× | – | |
| Interest coverage | 15.7× | 10.0× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.6× | 4.8× | 4.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.7% | 3.3% | 18.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 48M | 42M | 32M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Eagle Materials generated $2.79B from operations and spent $3.09B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 30% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 18.4% | 0.65× | 2.42× | 28.9% |
| FY2025 | 20.5% | 0.73× | 2.25× | 33.5% |
| FY2024 | 21.1% | 0.79× | 2.30× | 38.3% |
| FY2023 | 21.5% | 0.80× | 2.31× | 39.8% |
| FY2022 | 20.1% | 0.69× | 2.17× | 30.0% |
| FY2021 | 20.9% | 0.56× | 2.49× | 29.2% |
| FY2020 | 5.0% | 0.55× | 2.36× | 6.5% |
| FY2019 | 5.3% | 0.58× | 1.73× | 5.2% |
| FY2018 | 18.5% | 0.60× | 1.76× | 19.6% |
| FY2017 | 16.4% | 0.59× | 1.84× | 17.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$423.81M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$614.17M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year15.7% → 13.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$614.17M vs $423.81M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell37.5% → 45.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.73 → 3.66
- No dilutionShare count did not rise34M → 32M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year29.78% → 28.27%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.77 → 0.71
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