Tredegar Corp (TG) stock analysis

TGNYSERolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous MetalsFiscal year ends December 31

Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 9/3048% below fair value

$5.73−0.06 (-1.04%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $200.23MP/E 8.4Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Tredegar passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation: 4/6
Growth: 1/6
Past performance: 0/6
Financial health: 4/6
Dividend: 0/6

What stands out

Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 48.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $5.73 is below our fair value estimate of $11.07.
Low debt
Debt is 21.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 48.9% of total debt.

What to watch

Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.0% over the last twelve months and averaged -5.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E above its 5-year median
Tredegar's P/E of 8.4 is above its own 5-year median of 7.6.

Valuation4/6

P/E above its 5-year median
Tredegar's P/E of 8.4 is above its own 5-year median of 7.6.
P/E below the industry
Tredegar's P/E of 8.4 is below the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 22.3.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Tredegar's price-to-book of 0.89 is below the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 3.17.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $5.73 is below our fair value estimate of $11.07.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 48.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6

Revenue growth over 3 years
Needs three years of positive revenue.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growth against the industry
Needs revenue for this year and last.
Guidance raised
Tredegar raised its 2026 Depreciation expense outlook on Aug 7, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6

Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.0% over the last twelve months and averaged -5.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Tredegar's return on equity of 11.0% is below the Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median of 15.6%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health4/6

Low debt
Debt is 21.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 123% five years ago to 21.7%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 48.9% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.82 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

No dividend
Tredegar has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$11.07

The share price is 48% below this estimate.

20%+ below

Near fair value

20%+ above

$5.73Price$11.07Fair value

Method	Multiple used	Own 5Y median	Industry median	Value per share	Weight
P/E	14.9×	7.6×	22.3×	$10.12	80%
P/B	2.3×	1.4×	3.2×	$14.86	20%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others	9.3% cost of equity	–	–	$2.50	–
Fair value				$11.07	100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

P/E at month end
Own 5-year median 7.6
Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding of Nonferrous median 22.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day: $1.79M
Value traded per 1% price move: $771.41K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month: 21.9%
Volatility (annualized): 50%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year: -0.69
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y): 0.89

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Net margin

–

Per year	1 year	3 years	5 years	10 years
Net income	–	+5.6%	–	–
EPS, diluted	–	+4.6%	–	–
Free cash flow	+41.0%	–	-21.0%	-9.2%

Returns and balance sheet

10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.

Measure	FY2016	FY2020	FY2025
Return on equity	8.4%	-31.1%	16.8%
Return on assets	3.8%	-12.3%	9.2%
Current ratio	1.74	1.34	1.62
Debt to equity	0.31	1.23	0.16
Inventory turnover	10.0×	–	–
Capex to revenue	5.5%	–	–
Diluted shares	33M	33M	35M

DuPont analysis

Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage

Net margin4.0%

Asset turnover1.37×

Equity multiplier2.15×

Return on equity, FY201711.7%

Fiscal year	Net margin	Asset turnover	Equity multiplier	Return on equity
FY2017	4.0%	1.37×	2.15×	11.7%
FY2016	3.0%	1.30×	2.18×	8.4%

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