Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $664.37MP/E 10.1Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid16 of 30 checks passed
Third Coast Bancshares passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.89 is below our fair value estimate of $44.96.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 40.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 19.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 44.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 30.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 40.5% a year.
No dividend
Third Coast Bancshares has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Third Coast Bancshares's P/E of 10.1 is below its own 5-year median of 11.7.
P/E below the industry
Third Coast Bancshares's P/E of 10.1 is below the Savings Institutions median of 13.7.
P/S below the industry
Third Coast Bancshares's price-to-sales of 2.81 is below the Savings Institutions median of 3.77.
P/B below the industry
Third Coast Bancshares's price-to-book of 0.99 is below the Savings Institutions median of 1.04.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.89 is below our fair value estimate of $44.96.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 19.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 44.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 30.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 40.5% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 26.4% over the last twelve months; the Savings Institutions median is 9.0%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 1.3%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity above the industry
Third Coast Bancshares's return on equity of 12.7% is above the Savings Institutions median of 6.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 40.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 31.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Third Coast Bancshares's net margin of 31.4% is above the Savings Institutions median of 20.3%.
Financial health3/6
Well capitalized
Equity is 10.0% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Needs loans and deposits.
Adequate loan-loss reserve
The allowance for credit losses is not reported.
Efficient operations
Non-interest expense takes 58.4% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.
Deposits growing
Deposits grew 36.8% over the past year.
Borrowings
Needs debt and equity figures.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Third Coast Bancshares has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$44.96
The share price is 11% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.6× | 11.7× | 13.7× | $49.83 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.0× | $40.08 | 50% |
| Fair value | $44.96 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 11.7
- Savings Institutions median 13.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $4.60M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $3.71M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 27%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.09
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.58
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +21.9% | +19.1% | +24.2% | – | |
| Net income | +39.1% | +52.6% | +40.5% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +36.3% | +44.7% | +14.7% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
8 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2018 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 13.7% | 13.4% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 1.3% | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 1.9% | – | |
| Diluted shares | – | 6M | 17M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Third Coast Bancshares does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 31.7% | 0.04× | 10.37× | 13.4% |
| FY2024 | 27.8% | 0.04× | 10.70× | 10.9% |
| FY2023 | 22.6% | 0.04× | 10.29× | 8.4% |
| FY2022 | 15.1% | 0.04× | 9.21× | 5.5% |
| FY2021 | 12.0% | 0.04× | 10.41× | 5.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$66.29M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$50.84M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.1% → 1.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$50.84M vs $66.29M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise17M → 17M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.04 → 0.04
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