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Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) stock analysis

TSBKNasdaqSavings Institutions, Not Federally CharteredFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 7, 2026Score 16/3016% above fair value
$47.61−0.41 (-0.85%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $370.20MP/E 11.9Yield 2.14%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance5Health5Dividend3

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Timberland Bancorp passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 16.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.7% a year.

  • P/E below the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's P/E of 12.0 is below the Savings Institutions median of 13.7.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 30.3% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 16.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $48.02 is above our fair value estimate of $41.35.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Timberland Bancorp's P/E of 12.0 is above its own 5-year median of 9.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's P/E of 12.0 is below the Savings Institutions median of 13.7.

  • P/S above the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's price-to-sales of 4.29 is above the Savings Institutions median of 3.77.

  • P/B above the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's price-to-book of 1.37 is above the Savings Institutions median of 1.04.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $48.02 is above our fair value estimate of $41.35.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 16.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 9.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 16.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 9.4% over the last twelve months; the Savings Institutions median is 9.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's return on equity of 11.9% is above the Savings Institutions median of 6.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 36.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 35.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Timberland Bancorp's net margin of 36.2% is above the Savings Institutions median of 20.3%.

Financial health5/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 13.3% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 84.8% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.3% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • Efficient operations

    Non-interest expense takes 53.6% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 5.6% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Timberland Bancorp paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Timberland Bancorp yields 3.1%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 28.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 30.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$41.35

The share price is 16% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$48.02Price$41.35Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.6×9.6×13.7×$46.2650%
P/B1.0×1.0×1.0×$36.4350%
Fair value$41.35100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.6
  • Savings Institutions median 13.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$1.43M
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.56M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
4.4%
Volatility (annualized)
23%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.85
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.35

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

35.3%−0.3 pts over 5 years

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